National Weather Service guidance as of April 11 projects a high temperature near 75°F in Denver on April 12 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, fueling trader consensus at 98.7% implied probability for 68°F or higher—well above the 61°F April 12 climatological normal from 1991-2020 data. This positioning reflects a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies promoting adiabatic warming and dry conditions, corroborated by model consensus across GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing minimal divergence. Recent observations confirm the warm pattern, with today's forecast high of 77°F following record-warm early April temperatures. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of mid-level clouds or isolated showers from lingering moisture, potentially capping peaks in the upper 60s, though probabilities remain low per current forecasts. Updated NWS advisories expected hourly through resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on April 12?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 12?
68°F or higher 99.2%
49°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$26,209 交易量
$26,209 交易量
2026-04-12
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
99%
68°F or higher 99.2%
49°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$26,209 交易量
$26,209 交易量
2026-04-12
49°F or below
$3,363 交易量
1%
50-51°F
$2,607 交易量
<1%
52-53°F
$2,493 交易量
<1%
54-55°F
$1,802 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$1,128 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$2,098 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$2,011 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$1,672 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$4,099 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$1,240 交易量
1%
68°F or higher
$3,716 交易量
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance as of April 11 projects a high temperature near 75°F in Denver on April 12 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, fueling trader consensus at 98.7% implied probability for 68°F or higher—well above the 61°F April 12 climatological normal from 1991-2020 data. This positioning reflects a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies promoting adiabatic warming and dry conditions, corroborated by model consensus across GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing minimal divergence. Recent observations confirm the warm pattern, with today's forecast high of 77°F following record-warm early April temperatures. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of mid-level clouds or isolated showers from lingering moisture, potentially capping peaks in the upper 60s, though probabilities remain low per current forecasts. Updated NWS advisories expected hourly through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$26,209结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance as of April 11 projects a high temperature near 75°F in Denver on April 12 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, fueling trader consensus at 98.7% implied probability for 68°F or higher—well above the 61°F April 12 climatological normal from 1991-2020 data. This positioning reflects a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies promoting adiabatic warming and dry conditions, corroborated by model consensus across GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing minimal divergence. Recent observations confirm the warm pattern, with today's forecast high of 77°F following record-warm early April temperatures. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of mid-level clouds or isolated showers from lingering moisture, potentially capping peaks in the upper 60s, though probabilities remain low per current forecasts. Updated NWS advisories expected hourly through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$26,209结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNational Weather Service guidance as of April 11 projects a high temperature near 75°F in Denver on April 12 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, fueling trader consensus at 98.7% implied probability for 68°F or higher—well above the 61°F April 12 climatological normal from 1991-2020 data. This positioning reflects a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies promoting adiabatic warming and dry conditions, corroborated by model consensus across GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing minimal divergence. Recent observations confirm the warm pattern, with today's forecast high of 77°F following record-warm early April temperatures. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of mid-level clouds or isolated showers from lingering moisture, potentially capping peaks in the upper 60s, though probabilities remain low per current forecasts. Updated NWS advisories expected hourly through resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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