BMKG's latest forecast for Jakarta Pusat on April 13 projects light rain under cloudy conditions with highs of 24–30°C and humidity 71–96%, yet traders assign 37.5% implied probability to 33°C as the peak, reflecting urban heat island effects that routinely elevate city-center readings 2–4°C above official stations amid tropical convection. Recent observations show April 11 maxing at 30°C with partly cloudy skies, consistent with surrounding days' 30–32°C under patchy showers during the monsoon-to-dry-season transition. April climatology averages ~32°C highs, with sea breezes and model ensembles supporting 32–34°C as frontrunners; daily BMKG updates may shift odds as shower coverage clarifies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 13?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 13?
33°C 40%
32°C 19%
34°C 19%
35°C 10.2%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
10%
32°C
19%
33°C
40%
34°C
19%
35°C
10%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 40%
32°C 19%
34°C 19%
35°C 10.2%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
10%
32°C
19%
33°C
40%
34°C
19%
35°C
10%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 9, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
BMKG's latest forecast for Jakarta Pusat on April 13 projects light rain under cloudy conditions with highs of 24–30°C and humidity 71–96%, yet traders assign 37.5% implied probability to 33°C as the peak, reflecting urban heat island effects that routinely elevate city-center readings 2–4°C above official stations amid tropical convection. Recent observations show April 11 maxing at 30°C with partly cloudy skies, consistent with surrounding days' 30–32°C under patchy showers during the monsoon-to-dry-season transition. April climatology averages ~32°C highs, with sea breezes and model ensembles supporting 32–34°C as frontrunners; daily BMKG updates may shift odds as shower coverage clarifies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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