BMKG's latest forecast for April 12 caps Jakarta's highest temperature at 31–32°C amid light-to-moderate rain and high humidity (67–99%) across districts like Jakarta Timur and Pusat, reflecting ongoing convective activity during the monsoon-to-dry season transition. Trader consensus favors 33°C at 34% implied probability, with 34°C close behind, as urban heat island effects in densely built areas often amplify peaks beyond official projections by 1–2°C via trapped solar radiation and concrete heat retention. Key differentiators include cloud cover fraction—patchy breaks could boost insolation for 34–35°C—versus afternoon thunderstorm timing suppressing to 32°C or below; recent days averaged 30–32°C under similar variable conditions. Real-time BMKG station observations will clarify as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 12?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 12?
35°C 35.4%
33°C 31%
34°C 29%
32°C 19%
$12,862 交易量
$12,862 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
19%
33°C
31%
34°C
29%
35°C
35%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
35°C 35.4%
33°C 31%
34°C 29%
32°C 19%
$12,862 交易量
$12,862 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
19%
33°C
31%
34°C
29%
35°C
35%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 8, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
BMKG's latest forecast for April 12 caps Jakarta's highest temperature at 31–32°C amid light-to-moderate rain and high humidity (67–99%) across districts like Jakarta Timur and Pusat, reflecting ongoing convective activity during the monsoon-to-dry season transition. Trader consensus favors 33°C at 34% implied probability, with 34°C close behind, as urban heat island effects in densely built areas often amplify peaks beyond official projections by 1–2°C via trapped solar radiation and concrete heat retention. Key differentiators include cloud cover fraction—patchy breaks could boost insolation for 34–35°C—versus afternoon thunderstorm timing suppressing to 32°C or below; recent days averaged 30–32°C under similar variable conditions. Real-time BMKG station observations will clarify as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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