AEMET's latest forecast for Madrid on April 12 indicates a maximum temperature of 14°C, reflecting a dramatic cool-down from 25°C on April 11 due to an incoming northerly airflow and 95% precipitation probability with overcast skies and NE winds gusting to 50 km/h. This shift aligns with trader sentiment favoring 14°C (34% implied probability), closely trailed by 15°C (28%) and 16°C (19%), as hourly projections peak at 14°C late afternoon amid cloudy conditions suppressing daytime heating. Ensemble model consensus from AEMET highlights uncertainty in exact cloud clearance and frontal timing, which could nudge highs 1–2°C higher if breaks appear; new updates expected every 6 hours from numerical models. April climatology averages 18°C highs, underscoring this atypical chill.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on April 12?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 12?
14°C 34%
15°C 27%
16°C 22%
13°C 5.1%
$31,517 交易量
$31,517 交易量
2026-04-12
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
34%
15°C
27%
16°C
22%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
14°C 34%
15°C 27%
16°C 22%
13°C 5.1%
$31,517 交易量
$31,517 交易量
2026-04-12
10°C or below
$4,294 交易量
<1%
11°C
$2,989 交易量
<1%
12°C
$3,907 交易量
2%
13°C
$3,059 交易量
5%
14°C
$1,935 交易量
34%
15°C
$1,710 交易量
27%
16°C
$1,790 交易量
22%
17°C
$2,713 交易量
5%
18°C
$2,870 交易量
2%
19°C
$2,900 交易量
1%
20°C or higher
$3,351 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.AEMET's latest forecast for Madrid on April 12 indicates a maximum temperature of 14°C, reflecting a dramatic cool-down from 25°C on April 11 due to an incoming northerly airflow and 95% precipitation probability with overcast skies and NE winds gusting to 50 km/h. This shift aligns with trader sentiment favoring 14°C (34% implied probability), closely trailed by 15°C (28%) and 16°C (19%), as hourly projections peak at 14°C late afternoon amid cloudy conditions suppressing daytime heating. Ensemble model consensus from AEMET highlights uncertainty in exact cloud clearance and frontal timing, which could nudge highs 1–2°C higher if breaks appear; new updates expected every 6 hours from numerical models. April climatology averages 18°C highs, underscoring this atypical chill.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
交易量
$31,517结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.AEMET's latest forecast for Madrid on April 12 indicates a maximum temperature of 14°C, reflecting a dramatic cool-down from 25°C on April 11 due to an incoming northerly airflow and 95% precipitation probability with overcast skies and NE winds gusting to 50 km/h. This shift aligns with trader sentiment favoring 14°C (34% implied probability), closely trailed by 15°C (28%) and 16°C (19%), as hourly projections peak at 14°C late afternoon amid cloudy conditions suppressing daytime heating. Ensemble model consensus from AEMET highlights uncertainty in exact cloud clearance and frontal timing, which could nudge highs 1–2°C higher if breaks appear; new updates expected every 6 hours from numerical models. April climatology averages 18°C highs, underscoring this atypical chill.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$31,517结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETAEMET's latest forecast for Madrid on April 12 indicates a maximum temperature of 14°C, reflecting a dramatic cool-down from 25°C on April 11 due to an incoming northerly airflow and 95% precipitation probability with overcast skies and NE winds gusting to 50 km/h. This shift aligns with trader sentiment favoring 14°C (34% implied probability), closely trailed by 15°C (28%) and 16°C (19%), as hourly projections peak at 14°C late afternoon amid cloudy conditions suppressing daytime heating. Ensemble model consensus from AEMET highlights uncertainty in exact cloud clearance and frontal timing, which could nudge highs 1–2°C higher if breaks appear; new updates expected every 6 hours from numerical models. April climatology averages 18°C highs, underscoring this atypical chill.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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