Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting Seoul's highest temperature on April 13 at around 19–20°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, yielding implied probabilities of 27% for 19°C and 23% for 20°C. This tight race stems from model spread over afternoon cloud development and southerly flow intensity, which could suppress peaks below 19°C or allow slight warming above 20°C. Early April's cooler-than-average highs (e.g., ~13°C on April 9) have given way to a rebounding spring trend, aligning with mid-April climatological averages near 18°C. New KMA updates and observations through April 12 will likely sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月13日首尔气温最高？
4月13日首尔气温最高？
19°C 27%
20°C 22%
21°C 12%
23°C或更高 11%
$54,983 交易量
$54,983 交易量
2026-04-13
13°C或以下
2%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
8%
18°C
6%
19°C
27%
20°C
22%
21°C
12%
22°C
10%
23°C或更高
11%
19°C 27%
20°C 22%
21°C 12%
23°C或更高 11%
$54,983 交易量
$54,983 交易量
2026-04-13
13°C或以下
$6,777 交易量
2%
14°C
$4,222 交易量
1%
15°C
$4,904 交易量
3%
16°C
$5,179 交易量
5%
17°C
$6,812 交易量
8%
18°C
$5,300 交易量
6%
19°C
$2,380 交易量
27%
20°C
$2,308 交易量
22%
21°C
$3,710 交易量
12%
22°C
$3,960 交易量
10%
23°C或更高
$9,540 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting Seoul's highest temperature on April 13 at around 19–20°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, yielding implied probabilities of 27% for 19°C and 23% for 20°C. This tight race stems from model spread over afternoon cloud development and southerly flow intensity, which could suppress peaks below 19°C or allow slight warming above 20°C. Early April's cooler-than-average highs (e.g., ~13°C on April 9) have given way to a rebounding spring trend, aligning with mid-April climatological averages near 18°C. New KMA updates and observations through April 12 will likely sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$54,983结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting Seoul's highest temperature on April 13 at around 19–20°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, yielding implied probabilities of 27% for 19°C and 23% for 20°C. This tight race stems from model spread over afternoon cloud development and southerly flow intensity, which could suppress peaks below 19°C or allow slight warming above 20°C. Early April's cooler-than-average highs (e.g., ~13°C on April 9) have given way to a rebounding spring trend, aligning with mid-April climatological averages near 18°C. New KMA updates and observations through April 12 will likely sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$54,983结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting Seoul's highest temperature on April 13 at around 19–20°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, yielding implied probabilities of 27% for 19°C and 23% for 20°C. This tight race stems from model spread over afternoon cloud development and southerly flow intensity, which could suppress peaks below 19°C or allow slight warming above 20°C. Early April's cooler-than-average highs (e.g., ~13°C on April 9) have given way to a rebounding spring trend, aligning with mid-April climatological averages near 18°C. New KMA updates and observations through April 12 will likely sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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