Trader consensus closely splits between 31°C (31.5%) and 32°C (29.0%) for Taipei's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 23–31°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers and light winds conducive to peak heating around 2–4 p.m. Differentiating factors include the urban heat island effect boosting temperatures 1–2°C above rural areas, strong solar insolation from a high-pressure ridge, and potential sea breeze moderation or brief cloud cover capping peaks near 30–31°C, as reflected in ensemble model spreads from sources like PredictWind (28°C) and international forecasts (30–31°C). Historical April maxima average 26°C, but above-normal conditions prevail; final CWA hourly updates and station readings tomorrow hold key resolution risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on April 12?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 12?
31°C 32%
32°C 28%
30°C 17%
33°C 9.3%
$48,932 交易量
$48,932 交易量
2026-04-12
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
17%
31°C
32%
32°C
28%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 32%
32°C 28%
30°C 17%
33°C 9.3%
$48,932 交易量
$48,932 交易量
2026-04-12
25°C or below
$6,725 交易量
<1%
26°C
$3,039 交易量
<1%
27°C
$4,328 交易量
<1%
28°C
$4,450 交易量
1%
29°C
$3,224 交易量
5%
30°C
$1,560 交易量
17%
31°C
$2,633 交易量
32%
32°C
$2,478 交易量
28%
33°C
$4,367 交易量
9%
34°C
$4,200 交易量
3%
35°C or higher
$11,943 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus closely splits between 31°C (31.5%) and 32°C (29.0%) for Taipei's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 23–31°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers and light winds conducive to peak heating around 2–4 p.m. Differentiating factors include the urban heat island effect boosting temperatures 1–2°C above rural areas, strong solar insolation from a high-pressure ridge, and potential sea breeze moderation or brief cloud cover capping peaks near 30–31°C, as reflected in ensemble model spreads from sources like PredictWind (28°C) and international forecasts (30–31°C). Historical April maxima average 26°C, but above-normal conditions prevail; final CWA hourly updates and station readings tomorrow hold key resolution risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
交易量
$48,932结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus closely splits between 31°C (31.5%) and 32°C (29.0%) for Taipei's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 23–31°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers and light winds conducive to peak heating around 2–4 p.m. Differentiating factors include the urban heat island effect boosting temperatures 1–2°C above rural areas, strong solar insolation from a high-pressure ridge, and potential sea breeze moderation or brief cloud cover capping peaks near 30–31°C, as reflected in ensemble model spreads from sources like PredictWind (28°C) and international forecasts (30–31°C). Historical April maxima average 26°C, but above-normal conditions prevail; final CWA hourly updates and station readings tomorrow hold key resolution risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$48,932结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETTrader consensus closely splits between 31°C (31.5%) and 32°C (29.0%) for Taipei's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 23–31°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers and light winds conducive to peak heating around 2–4 p.m. Differentiating factors include the urban heat island effect boosting temperatures 1–2°C above rural areas, strong solar insolation from a high-pressure ridge, and potential sea breeze moderation or brief cloud cover capping peaks near 30–31°C, as reflected in ensemble model spreads from sources like PredictWind (28°C) and international forecasts (30–31°C). Historical April maxima average 26°C, but above-normal conditions prevail; final CWA hourly updates and station readings tomorrow hold key resolution risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题