Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 22°C (27%), 23°C (37.5%), and 24°C (30.5%) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature today, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS projecting daytime maxima of 22-24°C amid mild autumn conditions with partial cloud cover and light southerly winds. Differentiating factors include model spread: ECMWF ensembles lean cooler toward 22°C due to potential increased afternoon cloudiness and stronger sea breeze moderation, while GFS runs favor 23-24°C with clearer skies enhancing peak insolation around 2-4 PM local time. April climatological highs average 22°C at Aeroparque station, aligning with recent days' patterns; watch SMN hourly observations through evening for resolution-defining measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 11?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 11?
23°C 39%
24°C 31%
22°C 28%
21°C 2.3%
$43,225 交易量
$43,225 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
28%
23°C
39%
24°C
31%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 39%
24°C 31%
22°C 28%
21°C 2.3%
$43,225 交易量
$43,225 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
28%
23°C
39%
24°C
31%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 22°C (27%), 23°C (37.5%), and 24°C (30.5%) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature today, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS projecting daytime maxima of 22-24°C amid mild autumn conditions with partial cloud cover and light southerly winds. Differentiating factors include model spread: ECMWF ensembles lean cooler toward 22°C due to potential increased afternoon cloudiness and stronger sea breeze moderation, while GFS runs favor 23-24°C with clearer skies enhancing peak insolation around 2-4 PM local time. April climatological highs average 22°C at Aeroparque station, aligning with recent days' patterns; watch SMN hourly observations through evening for resolution-defining measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题