Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (34.5%) and 25°C (34.5%) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 12, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting afternoon peaks around 24-25°C amid light winds and partial sunshine. This tight race stems from inherent forecast uncertainty in peak boundary-layer heating, where small differences in sea breeze timing from the Atlantic or isolated cloud cover could tip the maximum by 1°C. Early April's record high minimums near 24°C signal a lingering warm air mass above the seasonal autumn average of 20-23°C, but today's April 11 forecasts of 21-23°C suggest moderated warmth. Watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and hourly observations through late afternoon for resolution-defining shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 12?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 12?
24°C 37%
25°C 33%
26°C 17%
23°C 14%
$13,906 交易量
$13,906 交易量
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
14%
24°C
37%
25°C
33%
26°C
17%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 37%
25°C 33%
26°C 17%
23°C 14%
$13,906 交易量
$13,906 交易量
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
14%
24°C
37%
25°C
33%
26°C
17%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (34.5%) and 25°C (34.5%) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 12, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting afternoon peaks around 24-25°C amid light winds and partial sunshine. This tight race stems from inherent forecast uncertainty in peak boundary-layer heating, where small differences in sea breeze timing from the Atlantic or isolated cloud cover could tip the maximum by 1°C. Early April's record high minimums near 24°C signal a lingering warm air mass above the seasonal autumn average of 20-23°C, but today's April 11 forecasts of 21-23°C suggest moderated warmth. Watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and hourly observations through late afternoon for resolution-defining shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题