Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 13, with 24°C (29.5% implied probability) edging 25°C (28.0%) as ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF hover near 24.5°C. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in predicted cloud cover, morning showers potentially capping peaks at 24°C per nearby AccuWeather guidance, versus clearer skies and residual urban heat island effects pushing toward 25°C in drier scenarios. April climatology averages 22°C highs at Ezeiza Airport measurement station amid autumn cooling, but a +1°C monthly anomaly from recent observations supports elevated odds above baseline. New model runs and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates through April 12 could resolve discrepancies before the daily maximum observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 13?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 13?
24°C 30%
25°C 28%
23°C 16%
26°C 8.6%
最新
最新
2026-04-13
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
16%
24°C
30%
25°C
28%
26°C
9%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 30%
25°C 28%
23°C 16%
26°C 8.6%
最新
最新
2026-04-13
18°C or below
$490 交易量
<1%
19°C
$874 交易量
1%
20°C
$334 交易量
1%
21°C
$619 交易量
3%
22°C
$386 交易量
3%
23°C
$438 交易量
16%
24°C
$124 交易量
30%
25°C
$286 交易量
28%
26°C
$1,069 交易量
9%
27°C
$759 交易量
5%
28°C or higher
$535 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 13, with 24°C (29.5% implied probability) edging 25°C (28.0%) as ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF hover near 24.5°C. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in predicted cloud cover, morning showers potentially capping peaks at 24°C per nearby AccuWeather guidance, versus clearer skies and residual urban heat island effects pushing toward 25°C in drier scenarios. April climatology averages 22°C highs at Ezeiza Airport measurement station amid autumn cooling, but a +1°C monthly anomaly from recent observations supports elevated odds above baseline. New model runs and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates through April 12 could resolve discrepancies before the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$5,819结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 13, with 24°C (29.5% implied probability) edging 25°C (28.0%) as ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF hover near 24.5°C. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in predicted cloud cover, morning showers potentially capping peaks at 24°C per nearby AccuWeather guidance, versus clearer skies and residual urban heat island effects pushing toward 25°C in drier scenarios. April climatology averages 22°C highs at Ezeiza Airport measurement station amid autumn cooling, but a +1°C monthly anomaly from recent observations supports elevated odds above baseline. New model runs and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates through April 12 could resolve discrepancies before the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,819结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 13, with 24°C (29.5% implied probability) edging 25°C (28.0%) as ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF hover near 24.5°C. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in predicted cloud cover, morning showers potentially capping peaks at 24°C per nearby AccuWeather guidance, versus clearer skies and residual urban heat island effects pushing toward 25°C in drier scenarios. April climatology averages 22°C highs at Ezeiza Airport measurement station amid autumn cooling, but a +1°C monthly anomaly from recent observations supports elevated odds above baseline. New model runs and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates through April 12 could resolve discrepancies before the daily maximum observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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