The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early April 11, projects a daytime high of 26–29°C on April 12 under a southerly airstream delivering warm, moist air, with sunny intervals and low probability of significant rain fostering daytime heating. This aligns closely with trader consensus, positioning 28°C at 48.5% implied probability as the leader, reflecting the upper end of the forecast range amid recent observations of 27.6°C maximum at the Observatory on April 11 and scattered station highs near 29°C. Early April 2026 temperatures have trended above seasonal norms—averaging 25–27°C historically—due to persistent warm advection, though isolated showers or cloud cover could cap peaks below 28°C. Resolution hinges on official Observatory readings tomorrow, with model consensus updates potentially shifting odds before close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 12?
28°C 46%
27°C 27.2%
29°C 18%
30°C or higher 11%
$30,475 交易量
$30,475 交易量
2026-04-12
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
27%
28°C
46%
29°C
18%
30°C or higher
11%
28°C 46%
27°C 27.2%
29°C 18%
30°C or higher 11%
$30,475 交易量
$30,475 交易量
2026-04-12
20°C or below
$2,096 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,978 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,664 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,680 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,437 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,614 交易量
<1%
26°C
$4,907 交易量
4%
27°C
$4,722 交易量
27%
28°C
$1,865 交易量
46%
29°C
$2,588 交易量
18%
30°C or higher
$3,076 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early April 11, projects a daytime high of 26–29°C on April 12 under a southerly airstream delivering warm, moist air, with sunny intervals and low probability of significant rain fostering daytime heating. This aligns closely with trader consensus, positioning 28°C at 48.5% implied probability as the leader, reflecting the upper end of the forecast range amid recent observations of 27.6°C maximum at the Observatory on April 11 and scattered station highs near 29°C. Early April 2026 temperatures have trended above seasonal norms—averaging 25–27°C historically—due to persistent warm advection, though isolated showers or cloud cover could cap peaks below 28°C. Resolution hinges on official Observatory readings tomorrow, with model consensus updates potentially shifting odds before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$30,475结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early April 11, projects a daytime high of 26–29°C on April 12 under a southerly airstream delivering warm, moist air, with sunny intervals and low probability of significant rain fostering daytime heating. This aligns closely with trader consensus, positioning 28°C at 48.5% implied probability as the leader, reflecting the upper end of the forecast range amid recent observations of 27.6°C maximum at the Observatory on April 11 and scattered station highs near 29°C. Early April 2026 temperatures have trended above seasonal norms—averaging 25–27°C historically—due to persistent warm advection, though isolated showers or cloud cover could cap peaks below 28°C. Resolution hinges on official Observatory readings tomorrow, with model consensus updates potentially shifting odds before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$30,475结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early April 11, projects a daytime high of 26–29°C on April 12 under a southerly airstream delivering warm, moist air, with sunny intervals and low probability of significant rain fostering daytime heating. This aligns closely with trader consensus, positioning 28°C at 48.5% implied probability as the leader, reflecting the upper end of the forecast range amid recent observations of 27.6°C maximum at the Observatory on April 11 and scattered station highs near 29°C. Early April 2026 temperatures have trended above seasonal norms—averaging 25–27°C historically—due to persistent warm advection, though isolated showers or cloud cover could cap peaks below 28°C. Resolution hinges on official Observatory readings tomorrow, with model consensus updates potentially shifting odds before close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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