Latest National Weather Service guidance for Austin positions trader sentiment toward highs in the low to mid-80s°F on April 13, with market-implied odds favoring 84°F or higher at 51% due to a developing warm, humid ridge pattern following recent showers and thunderstorms through early April. After a wetter-than-normal start to the month amid unsettled conditions, subsiding moisture and southwesterly flow are expected to promote ample daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, pushing above the climatological April average of around 79°F. Forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show consensus for 82-85°F peaks, though lingering cloud cover or isolated convection could cap temperatures at 80-83°F (42% combined probability). Watch for NWS updates and 12Z model runs on April 11-12, which may refine exact intensity amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on April 13?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 13?
84°F or higher 52%
82-83°F 26%
80-81°F 14%
76-77°F 3.9%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
26%
84°F or higher
52%
84°F or higher 52%
82-83°F 26%
80-81°F 14%
76-77°F 3.9%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
26%
84°F or higher
52%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest National Weather Service guidance for Austin positions trader sentiment toward highs in the low to mid-80s°F on April 13, with market-implied odds favoring 84°F or higher at 51% due to a developing warm, humid ridge pattern following recent showers and thunderstorms through early April. After a wetter-than-normal start to the month amid unsettled conditions, subsiding moisture and southwesterly flow are expected to promote ample daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, pushing above the climatological April average of around 79°F. Forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show consensus for 82-85°F peaks, though lingering cloud cover or isolated convection could cap temperatures at 80-83°F (42% combined probability). Watch for NWS updates and 12Z model runs on April 11-12, which may refine exact intensity amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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