National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on April 11 project highs in the upper 70s to low 80s°F at key observing sites like Houston Intercontinental (KIAH) and Hobby (KHOU) airports, anchoring the 98.5% market-implied probability for 76°F or higher amid trader consensus on GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance. Morning observations show temperatures climbing from the low 70s under partly cloudy skies with southeast winds of 5-15 mph promoting warm advection, while recent overnight rain (0.5-0.8 inches) has tapered off without saturating soils enough to suppress daytime heating. April climatology supports this with typical highs near 78°F. Realistic challenges include widespread thunderstorms stalling over the metro area—increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling—or an unanticipated shortwave trough introducing cooler air, though model agreement deems these low-probability scenarios. Afternoon forecast updates from NOAA will refine trajectories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on April 11?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 11?
76°F or higher 98.8%
74-75°F 1.4%
72-73°F <1%
$29,162 交易量
$29,162 交易量
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
99%
76°F or higher 98.8%
74-75°F 1.4%
72-73°F <1%
$29,162 交易量
$29,162 交易量
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on April 11 project highs in the upper 70s to low 80s°F at key observing sites like Houston Intercontinental (KIAH) and Hobby (KHOU) airports, anchoring the 98.5% market-implied probability for 76°F or higher amid trader consensus on GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance. Morning observations show temperatures climbing from the low 70s under partly cloudy skies with southeast winds of 5-15 mph promoting warm advection, while recent overnight rain (0.5-0.8 inches) has tapered off without saturating soils enough to suppress daytime heating. April climatology supports this with typical highs near 78°F. Realistic challenges include widespread thunderstorms stalling over the metro area—increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling—or an unanticipated shortwave trough introducing cooler air, though model agreement deems these low-probability scenarios. Afternoon forecast updates from NOAA will refine trajectories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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