National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high near 80°F on April 12 under partly sunny skies with only a 30% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, driving the market's 97.3% implied probability for 74°F or higher as trader consensus aligns with model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF showing upper-air ridging promoting warm advection from the south. Recent observations confirm the pattern, with highs reaching 77-81°F over the past week amid persistent southerly flow and above-normal April climatology (average 78°F). Realistic challenges include an unexpected northward surge of cooler air or enhanced convective cloud cover suppressing insolation, though steering currents and low front risk make this unlikely; monitor NWS morning forecast discussion for updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on April 12?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 12?
74°F or higher 97.3%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$16,466 交易量
$16,466 交易量
2026-04-12
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
97%
74°F or higher 97.3%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$16,466 交易量
$16,466 交易量
2026-04-12
55°F or below
$1,343 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$1,756 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$1,319 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$1,363 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$1,236 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$1,298 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$1,246 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$2,143 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$928 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$1,203 交易量
1%
74°F or higher
$2,631 交易量
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high near 80°F on April 12 under partly sunny skies with only a 30% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, driving the market's 97.3% implied probability for 74°F or higher as trader consensus aligns with model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF showing upper-air ridging promoting warm advection from the south. Recent observations confirm the pattern, with highs reaching 77-81°F over the past week amid persistent southerly flow and above-normal April climatology (average 78°F). Realistic challenges include an unexpected northward surge of cooler air or enhanced convective cloud cover suppressing insolation, though steering currents and low front risk make this unlikely; monitor NWS morning forecast discussion for updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
交易量
$16,466结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high near 80°F on April 12 under partly sunny skies with only a 30% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, driving the market's 97.3% implied probability for 74°F or higher as trader consensus aligns with model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF showing upper-air ridging promoting warm advection from the south. Recent observations confirm the pattern, with highs reaching 77-81°F over the past week amid persistent southerly flow and above-normal April climatology (average 78°F). Realistic challenges include an unexpected northward surge of cooler air or enhanced convective cloud cover suppressing insolation, though steering currents and low front risk make this unlikely; monitor NWS morning forecast discussion for updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$16,466结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high near 80°F on April 12 under partly sunny skies with only a 30% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, driving the market's 97.3% implied probability for 74°F or higher as trader consensus aligns with model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF showing upper-air ridging promoting warm advection from the south. Recent observations confirm the pattern, with highs reaching 77-81°F over the past week amid persistent southerly flow and above-normal April climatology (average 78°F). Realistic challenges include an unexpected northward surge of cooler air or enhanced convective cloud cover suppressing insolation, though steering currents and low front risk make this unlikely; monitor NWS morning forecast discussion for updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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