Market-implied odds cluster around 13–15°C for Paris's highest temperature on April 13 at Charles de Gaulle Airport station, reflecting Météo-France's latest ARPEGE model runs and ECMWF ensemble consensus projecting daytime highs near 14°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This follows a sharp cooling after an unusually warm spell peaking at 25°C on April 9, as a high-pressure ridge over western Europe breaks down, ushering cooler Atlantic air. Trader sentiment weighs model spreads of 12–16°C, driven by uncertain afternoon cloud development and boundary layer mixing; GFS shows slightly higher potential at 15–16°C. New 12z forecast updates from NOAA and ECMWF expected within 24 hours could narrow this range ahead of resolution. Historical mid-April normals average 15°C, underscoring typical spring variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Paris on April 13?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 13?
14°C 31%
15°C 25%
13°C 23%
16°C 11%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
8%
13°C
23%
14°C
31%
15°C
25%
16°C
11%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 31%
15°C 25%
13°C 23%
16°C 11%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
8%
13°C
23%
14°C
31%
15°C
25%
16°C
11%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market-implied odds cluster around 13–15°C for Paris's highest temperature on April 13 at Charles de Gaulle Airport station, reflecting Météo-France's latest ARPEGE model runs and ECMWF ensemble consensus projecting daytime highs near 14°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This follows a sharp cooling after an unusually warm spell peaking at 25°C on April 9, as a high-pressure ridge over western Europe breaks down, ushering cooler Atlantic air. Trader sentiment weighs model spreads of 12–16°C, driven by uncertain afternoon cloud development and boundary layer mixing; GFS shows slightly higher potential at 15–16°C. New 12z forecast updates from NOAA and ECMWF expected within 24 hours could narrow this range ahead of resolution. Historical mid-April normals average 15°C, underscoring typical spring variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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