Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 74-77°F highs at LaGuardia Airport on April 13, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF, which project peak afternoon temperatures in the mid-70s under a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and light southerly winds. This setup favors above-normal warmth—nearly 15°F above the mid-April climatological average of 59°F—driven by enhanced solar insolation and minimal cloud interference, though slight model spread (GFS trending 1-2°F warmer than ECMWF) accounts for the razor-thin margin between 74-75°F (24.5%) and 76-77°F (23.3%). Key differentiators include potential sea breeze development tempering coastal peaks and exact timing of diurnal maximums. New 00Z model runs and NWS updates expected overnight could sharpen probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月13日纽约市最高气温？
4月13日纽约市最高气温？
74-75°F 24%
76-77°F 23.8%
72-73°F 18.8%
78-79°F 13.4%
$20,647 交易量
$20,647 交易量
2026-04-13
61°F或以下
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
13%
80°F或更高
7%
74-75°F 24%
76-77°F 23.8%
72-73°F 18.8%
78-79°F 13.4%
$20,647 交易量
$20,647 交易量
2026-04-13
61°F或以下
$5,117 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$3,315 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$1,799 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$1,871 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$587 交易量
4%
70-71°F
$808 交易量
10%
72-73°F
$815 交易量
19%
74-75°F
$804 交易量
24%
76-77°F
$457 交易量
24%
78-79°F
$1,373 交易量
13%
80°F或更高
$3,702 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 74-77°F highs at LaGuardia Airport on April 13, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF, which project peak afternoon temperatures in the mid-70s under a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and light southerly winds. This setup favors above-normal warmth—nearly 15°F above the mid-April climatological average of 59°F—driven by enhanced solar insolation and minimal cloud interference, though slight model spread (GFS trending 1-2°F warmer than ECMWF) accounts for the razor-thin margin between 74-75°F (24.5%) and 76-77°F (23.3%). Key differentiators include potential sea breeze development tempering coastal peaks and exact timing of diurnal maximums. New 00Z model runs and NWS updates expected overnight could sharpen probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$20,647结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 74-77°F highs at LaGuardia Airport on April 13, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF, which project peak afternoon temperatures in the mid-70s under a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and light southerly winds. This setup favors above-normal warmth—nearly 15°F above the mid-April climatological average of 59°F—driven by enhanced solar insolation and minimal cloud interference, though slight model spread (GFS trending 1-2°F warmer than ECMWF) accounts for the razor-thin margin between 74-75°F (24.5%) and 76-77°F (23.3%). Key differentiators include potential sea breeze development tempering coastal peaks and exact timing of diurnal maximums. New 00Z model runs and NWS updates expected overnight could sharpen probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$20,647结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 74-77°F highs at LaGuardia Airport on April 13, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF, which project peak afternoon temperatures in the mid-70s under a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and light southerly winds. This setup favors above-normal warmth—nearly 15°F above the mid-April climatological average of 59°F—driven by enhanced solar insolation and minimal cloud interference, though slight model spread (GFS trending 1-2°F warmer than ECMWF) accounts for the razor-thin margin between 74-75°F (24.5%) and 76-77°F (23.3%). Key differentiators include potential sea breeze development tempering coastal peaks and exact timing of diurnal maximums. New 00Z model runs and NWS updates expected overnight could sharpen probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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