Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 11°C or higher at 99.2% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature on April 13, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast projecting a peak of 18°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and above-average spring warmth. Surface observations confirm the trend, with 16°C recorded at Munich Airport on April 11 evening and mild overnight readings around 10°C on April 12, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus for continued mild advection from southern Europe. Historical mid-April averages hover near 12–13°C, making this positioning robust. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cooler Atlantic air or increased cloud cover disrupting insolation, though short-range forecasts show low precipitation risk ahead of any evening updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月13日慕尼黑的最高温度?
4月13日慕尼黑的最高温度?
11°C或更高 99.4%
10°C <1%
7°C <1%
6°C <1%
$71,705 交易量
$71,705 交易量
1°C或以下
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C或更高
99%
11°C或更高 99.4%
10°C <1%
7°C <1%
6°C <1%
$71,705 交易量
$71,705 交易量
1°C或以下
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C或更高
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 11°C or higher at 99.2% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature on April 13, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast projecting a peak of 18°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and above-average spring warmth. Surface observations confirm the trend, with 16°C recorded at Munich Airport on April 11 evening and mild overnight readings around 10°C on April 12, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus for continued mild advection from southern Europe. Historical mid-April averages hover near 12–13°C, making this positioning robust. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cooler Atlantic air or increased cloud cover disrupting insolation, though short-range forecasts show low precipitation risk ahead of any evening updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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