Trader consensus favors 19°C at 31% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 14, closely trailed by 18°C (24%) and 20°C (19%), mirroring the spread in latest GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts converging on 18-20°C amid persistent overcast skies and possible light sprinkles. Recent observations through April 12 show cooler-than-normal highs around 16-18°C with rain suppressing diurnal heating, but a warming trend this month—monthly mean already +1.8°C above the 15.7°C April norm—supports mid-teens to low-20s potential aligned with historical mid-April averages near 19°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability and frontal influences; sunnier breaks could push toward 20°C+, while thicker clouds cap at 18°C. New model runs from the National Meteorological Center are due within 24 hours, likely refining odds ahead of resolution via official Shanghai station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 14?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 14?
19°C 34%
18°C 26%
20°C 24%
17°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
6%
16°C
5%
17°C
13%
18°C
27%
19°C
34%
20°C
22%
21°C
9%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
2%
19°C 34%
18°C 26%
20°C 24%
17°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
13°C or below
$481 交易量
<1%
14°C
$672 交易量
3%
15°C
$38 交易量
6%
16°C
$205 交易量
5%
17°C
$90 交易量
13%
18°C
$65 交易量
27%
19°C
$53 交易量
34%
20°C
$44 交易量
22%
21°C
$67 交易量
9%
22°C
$67 交易量
3%
23°C or higher
$204 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 19°C at 31% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 14, closely trailed by 18°C (24%) and 20°C (19%), mirroring the spread in latest GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts converging on 18-20°C amid persistent overcast skies and possible light sprinkles. Recent observations through April 12 show cooler-than-normal highs around 16-18°C with rain suppressing diurnal heating, but a warming trend this month—monthly mean already +1.8°C above the 15.7°C April norm—supports mid-teens to low-20s potential aligned with historical mid-April averages near 19°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability and frontal influences; sunnier breaks could push toward 20°C+, while thicker clouds cap at 18°C. New model runs from the National Meteorological Center are due within 24 hours, likely refining odds ahead of resolution via official Shanghai station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
交易量
$1,986结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 19°C at 31% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 14, closely trailed by 18°C (24%) and 20°C (19%), mirroring the spread in latest GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts converging on 18-20°C amid persistent overcast skies and possible light sprinkles. Recent observations through April 12 show cooler-than-normal highs around 16-18°C with rain suppressing diurnal heating, but a warming trend this month—monthly mean already +1.8°C above the 15.7°C April norm—supports mid-teens to low-20s potential aligned with historical mid-April averages near 19°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability and frontal influences; sunnier breaks could push toward 20°C+, while thicker clouds cap at 18°C. New model runs from the National Meteorological Center are due within 24 hours, likely refining odds ahead of resolution via official Shanghai station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,986结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETTrader consensus favors 19°C at 31% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 14, closely trailed by 18°C (24%) and 20°C (19%), mirroring the spread in latest GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts converging on 18-20°C amid persistent overcast skies and possible light sprinkles. Recent observations through April 12 show cooler-than-normal highs around 16-18°C with rain suppressing diurnal heating, but a warming trend this month—monthly mean already +1.8°C above the 15.7°C April norm—supports mid-teens to low-20s potential aligned with historical mid-April averages near 19°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability and frontal influences; sunnier breaks could push toward 20°C+, while thicker clouds cap at 18°C. New model runs from the National Meteorological Center are due within 24 hours, likely refining odds ahead of resolution via official Shanghai station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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