The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest regional forecast projects Mexico City's highest temperature on April 14 at 25–27°C, fueling the 75% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher as traders align with this official guidance from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's highland climate features strong diurnal heating under April's dry-season clear skies, with historical April highs averaging 25°C and minimal precipitation risk. No significant cold fronts or cloud intrusions have altered patterns in the past 48 hours, keeping lower temperature outcomes below 3%. Watch for SMN's next 96-hour update tomorrow, which could refine intensity based on evolving upper-air steering.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 14?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 14?
22°C or higher 94.2%
20°C 3.3%
21°C 3.3%
19°C 1.7%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
94%
22°C or higher 94.2%
20°C 3.3%
21°C 3.3%
19°C 1.7%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
12°C or below
$89 交易量
1%
13°C
$73 交易量
1%
14°C
$79 交易量
1%
15°C
$74 交易量
1%
16°C
$79 交易量
1%
17°C
$84 交易量
1%
18°C
$74 交易量
1%
19°C
$68 交易量
2%
20°C
$43 交易量
3%
21°C
$43 交易量
3%
22°C or higher
$70 交易量
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest regional forecast projects Mexico City's highest temperature on April 14 at 25–27°C, fueling the 75% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher as traders align with this official guidance from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's highland climate features strong diurnal heating under April's dry-season clear skies, with historical April highs averaging 25°C and minimal precipitation risk. No significant cold fronts or cloud intrusions have altered patterns in the past 48 hours, keeping lower temperature outcomes below 3%. Watch for SMN's next 96-hour update tomorrow, which could refine intensity based on evolving upper-air steering.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$720结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest regional forecast projects Mexico City's highest temperature on April 14 at 25–27°C, fueling the 75% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher as traders align with this official guidance from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's highland climate features strong diurnal heating under April's dry-season clear skies, with historical April highs averaging 25°C and minimal precipitation risk. No significant cold fronts or cloud intrusions have altered patterns in the past 48 hours, keeping lower temperature outcomes below 3%. Watch for SMN's next 96-hour update tomorrow, which could refine intensity based on evolving upper-air steering.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$720结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThe Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest regional forecast projects Mexico City's highest temperature on April 14 at 25–27°C, fueling the 75% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher as traders align with this official guidance from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's highland climate features strong diurnal heating under April's dry-season clear skies, with historical April highs averaging 25°C and minimal precipitation risk. No significant cold fronts or cloud intrusions have altered patterns in the past 48 hours, keeping lower temperature outcomes below 3%. Watch for SMN's next 96-hour update tomorrow, which could refine intensity based on evolving upper-air steering.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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