Latest KNMI guidance, updated April 11, projects Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 14 at around 14°C amid partly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and a 30% chance of light showers, closely matching the trader consensus with 14°C (28%), 15°C (27.5%), and 16°C (27.5%) leading. This tight clustering stems from ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads of 12-17°C, driven by uncertainty in cloud cover extent and sunny break timing, which could boost peaks via increased insolation or cap them under persistent overcast. Recent mild spring conditions—15°C on April 5 at Schiphol Airport, inland 20°C first warm day on April 8, and April 12 also at 14°C—support above-normal potential, though coastal moderation persists. Watch 12z model runs today for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 14?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 14?
15°C 25%
17°C 21%
16°C 19%
14°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
13%
14°C
14%
15°C
25%
16°C
19%
17°C
21%
18°C or higher
6%
15°C 25%
17°C 21%
16°C 19%
14°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
8°C or below
$112 交易量
1%
9°C
$115 交易量
1%
10°C
$64 交易量
1%
11°C
$70 交易量
1%
12°C
$51 交易量
3%
13°C
$54 交易量
13%
14°C
$55 交易量
14%
15°C
$0 交易量
25%
16°C
$105 交易量
19%
17°C
$0 交易量
21%
18°C or higher
$73 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI guidance, updated April 11, projects Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 14 at around 14°C amid partly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and a 30% chance of light showers, closely matching the trader consensus with 14°C (28%), 15°C (27.5%), and 16°C (27.5%) leading. This tight clustering stems from ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads of 12-17°C, driven by uncertainty in cloud cover extent and sunny break timing, which could boost peaks via increased insolation or cap them under persistent overcast. Recent mild spring conditions—15°C on April 5 at Schiphol Airport, inland 20°C first warm day on April 8, and April 12 also at 14°C—support above-normal potential, though coastal moderation persists. Watch 12z model runs today for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
交易量
$700结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI guidance, updated April 11, projects Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 14 at around 14°C amid partly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and a 30% chance of light showers, closely matching the trader consensus with 14°C (28%), 15°C (27.5%), and 16°C (27.5%) leading. This tight clustering stems from ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads of 12-17°C, driven by uncertainty in cloud cover extent and sunny break timing, which could boost peaks via increased insolation or cap them under persistent overcast. Recent mild spring conditions—15°C on April 5 at Schiphol Airport, inland 20°C first warm day on April 8, and April 12 also at 14°C—support above-normal potential, though coastal moderation persists. Watch 12z model runs today for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$700结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETLatest KNMI guidance, updated April 11, projects Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 14 at around 14°C amid partly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and a 30% chance of light showers, closely matching the trader consensus with 14°C (28%), 15°C (27.5%), and 16°C (27.5%) leading. This tight clustering stems from ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads of 12-17°C, driven by uncertainty in cloud cover extent and sunny break timing, which could boost peaks via increased insolation or cap them under persistent overcast. Recent mild spring conditions—15°C on April 5 at Schiphol Airport, inland 20°C first warm day on April 8, and April 12 also at 14°C—support above-normal potential, though coastal moderation persists. Watch 12z model runs today for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题