Latest ECMWF ensemble forecasts and IMGW guidance point to a trader consensus around 15-17°C maximum surface temperatures in Warsaw on April 14, reflecting a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe that promotes subsidence warming and above-normal mild conditions following recent frost advisories. The tight race among these outcomes stems from ensemble spread in afternoon cloud cover and insolation potential—sunnier members with lighter southerly flow favor 17°C via enhanced solar heating, while cloudier scenarios with residual cool air limit peaks to 15°C. Historical mid-April highs average 13-14°C, underscoring the anomalously warm setup, though 1-2°C uncertainty persists; watch 12Z model updates and morning soundings for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 14?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 14?
17°C 33%
18°C 24%
16°C 22%
15°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
10°C or below
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
9%
15°C
17%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
16%
20°C or higher
11%
17°C 33%
18°C 24%
16°C 22%
15°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
10°C or below
$150 交易量
1%
11°C
$565 交易量
2%
12°C
$725 交易量
1%
13°C
$629 交易量
2%
14°C
$90 交易量
9%
15°C
$61 交易量
17%
16°C
$38 交易量
22%
17°C
$18 交易量
22%
18°C
$30 交易量
22%
19°C
$26 交易量
16%
20°C or higher
$172 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF ensemble forecasts and IMGW guidance point to a trader consensus around 15-17°C maximum surface temperatures in Warsaw on April 14, reflecting a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe that promotes subsidence warming and above-normal mild conditions following recent frost advisories. The tight race among these outcomes stems from ensemble spread in afternoon cloud cover and insolation potential—sunnier members with lighter southerly flow favor 17°C via enhanced solar heating, while cloudier scenarios with residual cool air limit peaks to 15°C. Historical mid-April highs average 13-14°C, underscoring the anomalously warm setup, though 1-2°C uncertainty persists; watch 12Z model updates and morning soundings for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 12, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
交易量
$2,505结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:49 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF ensemble forecasts and IMGW guidance point to a trader consensus around 15-17°C maximum surface temperatures in Warsaw on April 14, reflecting a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe that promotes subsidence warming and above-normal mild conditions following recent frost advisories. The tight race among these outcomes stems from ensemble spread in afternoon cloud cover and insolation potential—sunnier members with lighter southerly flow favor 17°C via enhanced solar heating, while cloudier scenarios with residual cool air limit peaks to 15°C. Historical mid-April highs average 13-14°C, underscoring the anomalously warm setup, though 1-2°C uncertainty persists; watch 12Z model updates and morning soundings for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,505结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:49 AM ETLatest ECMWF ensemble forecasts and IMGW guidance point to a trader consensus around 15-17°C maximum surface temperatures in Warsaw on April 14, reflecting a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe that promotes subsidence warming and above-normal mild conditions following recent frost advisories. The tight race among these outcomes stems from ensemble spread in afternoon cloud cover and insolation potential—sunnier members with lighter southerly flow favor 17°C via enhanced solar heating, while cloudier scenarios with residual cool air limit peaks to 15°C. Historical mid-April highs average 13-14°C, underscoring the anomalously warm setup, though 1-2°C uncertainty persists; watch 12Z model updates and morning soundings for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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