Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 51% probability for Houston's highest temperature reaching 84°F or higher on April 14, closely followed by 82-83°F at 39%, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts calling for lows in the low 80s under a building ridge of high pressure aloft. Recent Area Forecast Discussions from the NWS Houston/Galveston office note warm, humid conditions persisting after weekend scattered showers, with southerly winds promoting daytime heating and highs 4-6°F above the April climatological average of 78°F. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models supports this range, though slight uncertainty lingers from isolated thunderstorms potentially capping peaks; monitor 12z updates and afternoon soundings for refinements ahead of resolution at Houston's official observing sites.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on April 14?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 14?
82-83°F 29%
80-81°F 28%
84°F or higher 28%
78-79°F 26%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
19%
84°F or higher
28%
82-83°F 29%
80-81°F 28%
84°F or higher 28%
78-79°F 26%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
19%
84°F or higher
28%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 12, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 51% probability for Houston's highest temperature reaching 84°F or higher on April 14, closely followed by 82-83°F at 39%, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts calling for lows in the low 80s under a building ridge of high pressure aloft. Recent Area Forecast Discussions from the NWS Houston/Galveston office note warm, humid conditions persisting after weekend scattered showers, with southerly winds promoting daytime heating and highs 4-6°F above the April climatological average of 78°F. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models supports this range, though slight uncertainty lingers from isolated thunderstorms potentially capping peaks; monitor 12z updates and afternoon soundings for refinements ahead of resolution at Houston's official observing sites.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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