Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 29°C (40.5% implied probability), 28°C (33%), and 30°C (21.5%) for Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting close alignment in ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting peaks of 28-29°C under partly cloudy skies. April 11's observed high near 28°C amid patchy rain (0.1 mm) and southerly winds sets a warm baseline, with modest diurnal heating favored by a subtropical ridge but tempered by sea breeze potential and light shower risks (up to 1.8 mm). Differentiating factors include model variances in afternoon cloud cover, urban heat island amplification, and wind timing, which could nudge the maximum up or down by 1-2°C; overnight updates and morning observations will refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 12?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 12?
29°C 39%
28°C 35%
30°C 19%
27°C 5.1%
$23,539 交易量
$23,539 交易量
2026-04-12
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
35%
29°C
39%
30°C
19%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 39%
28°C 35%
30°C 19%
27°C 5.1%
$23,539 交易量
$23,539 交易量
2026-04-12
22°C or below
$1,131 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,058 交易量
<1%
24°C
$2,931 交易量
<1%
25°C
$3,227 交易量
<1%
26°C
$2,611 交易量
1%
27°C
$4,878 交易量
5%
28°C
$2,915 交易量
35%
29°C
$396 交易量
39%
30°C
$348 交易量
19%
31°C
$2,684 交易量
4%
32°C or higher
$1,368 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 29°C (40.5% implied probability), 28°C (33%), and 30°C (21.5%) for Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting close alignment in ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting peaks of 28-29°C under partly cloudy skies. April 11's observed high near 28°C amid patchy rain (0.1 mm) and southerly winds sets a warm baseline, with modest diurnal heating favored by a subtropical ridge but tempered by sea breeze potential and light shower risks (up to 1.8 mm). Differentiating factors include model variances in afternoon cloud cover, urban heat island amplification, and wind timing, which could nudge the maximum up or down by 1-2°C; overnight updates and morning observations will refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$23,539结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 29°C (40.5% implied probability), 28°C (33%), and 30°C (21.5%) for Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting close alignment in ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting peaks of 28-29°C under partly cloudy skies. April 11's observed high near 28°C amid patchy rain (0.1 mm) and southerly winds sets a warm baseline, with modest diurnal heating favored by a subtropical ridge but tempered by sea breeze potential and light shower risks (up to 1.8 mm). Differentiating factors include model variances in afternoon cloud cover, urban heat island amplification, and wind timing, which could nudge the maximum up or down by 1-2°C; overnight updates and morning observations will refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$23,539结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETTrader sentiment clusters tightly around 29°C (40.5% implied probability), 28°C (33%), and 30°C (21.5%) for Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting close alignment in ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting peaks of 28-29°C under partly cloudy skies. April 11's observed high near 28°C amid patchy rain (0.1 mm) and southerly winds sets a warm baseline, with modest diurnal heating favored by a subtropical ridge but tempered by sea breeze potential and light shower risks (up to 1.8 mm). Differentiating factors include model variances in afternoon cloud cover, urban heat island amplification, and wind timing, which could nudge the maximum up or down by 1-2°C; overnight updates and morning observations will refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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