Trader consensus on Polymarket shows evenly matched implied probabilities around 50% for highest temperatures of 25–29°C in Kuala Lumpur on April 14, underscoring genuine uncertainty in short-term forecasts amid the city's equatorial inter-monsoon climate. The Malaysian Meteorological Department projects a 34°C maximum with isolated afternoon thunderstorms that could suppress peaks via cloud cover and brief heavy rain, while alternative models like those on timeanddate.com imply nearer 31°C—highlighting divergence in convective activity simulations. Historical April highs at Kuala Lumpur International Airport average 33°C, but timing of thunderstorm development and urban heat island effects versus airport exposure create fine distinctions between outcomes. Watch for METMalaysia updates tomorrow, as new observational data could sharpen the picture before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 14?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 14?
31°C 32%
30°C 26%
32°C 20%
33°C 17%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
6%
30°C
22%
31°C
32%
32°C
20%
33°C
17%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
8%
31°C 32%
30°C 26%
32°C 20%
33°C 17%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
6%
30°C
22%
31°C
32%
32°C
20%
33°C
17%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket shows evenly matched implied probabilities around 50% for highest temperatures of 25–29°C in Kuala Lumpur on April 14, underscoring genuine uncertainty in short-term forecasts amid the city's equatorial inter-monsoon climate. The Malaysian Meteorological Department projects a 34°C maximum with isolated afternoon thunderstorms that could suppress peaks via cloud cover and brief heavy rain, while alternative models like those on timeanddate.com imply nearer 31°C—highlighting divergence in convective activity simulations. Historical April highs at Kuala Lumpur International Airport average 33°C, but timing of thunderstorm development and urban heat island effects versus airport exposure create fine distinctions between outcomes. Watch for METMalaysia updates tomorrow, as new observational data could sharpen the picture before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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