Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast for Incheon International Airport—the market's resolution station—projects a daytime high of 22°C on April 14 under mostly cloudy morning conditions transitioning to clear afternoon skies, with light easterly winds shifting variable at 2–6 knots. This aligns with clustered trader sentiment favoring 21–24°C outcomes, as hourly details show peak heating around midday to early afternoon if solar insolation prevails, though persistent morning clouds or haze could cap temperatures at 21°C. ECMWF and GFS ensembles exhibit divergence in cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, contributing to the tight probabilities amid above-normal mid-April warmth (historical averages ~18°C). Updated KMA guidance expected April 13 morning; real-time observations will refine the peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on April 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 14?
21°C 22%
18°C 19%
19°C 19%
22°C 16%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
6%
17°C
11%
18°C
19%
19°C
19%
20°C
12%
21°C
22%
22°C
16%
23°C
11%
24°C or higher
11%
21°C 22%
18°C 19%
19°C 19%
22°C 16%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
6%
17°C
11%
18°C
19%
19°C
19%
20°C
12%
21°C
22%
22°C
16%
23°C
11%
24°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 12, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast for Incheon International Airport—the market's resolution station—projects a daytime high of 22°C on April 14 under mostly cloudy morning conditions transitioning to clear afternoon skies, with light easterly winds shifting variable at 2–6 knots. This aligns with clustered trader sentiment favoring 21–24°C outcomes, as hourly details show peak heating around midday to early afternoon if solar insolation prevails, though persistent morning clouds or haze could cap temperatures at 21°C. ECMWF and GFS ensembles exhibit divergence in cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, contributing to the tight probabilities amid above-normal mid-April warmth (historical averages ~18°C). Updated KMA guidance expected April 13 morning; real-time observations will refine the peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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