Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 58°F or higher in Chicago on April 14, reflecting near-unanimous National Weather Service guidance and model ensemble agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the low to mid-60s°F. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly flow and spring warmth, with recent days logging the third-most 70°F+ readings in Chicago history for early April amid ENSO-neutral conditions boosting above-normal temperature anomalies. Observations confirm steady mild advection, aligning with climatological norms of 58.4°F while exceeding them reliably. Realistic challenges include an accelerated cold front introducing northerly winds, prolonged cloud cover from 50%+ shower chances, or stalled thunderstorms suppressing peaks—scenarios monitored in twice-daily NWS updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on April 14?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 14?
58°F or higher 99.0%
52-53°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
最新
$59,008 交易量
最新
$59,008 交易量
2026-04-14
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F or higher
99%
58°F or higher 99.0%
52-53°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
最新
$59,008 交易量
最新
$59,008 交易量
2026-04-14
39°F or below
$7,056 交易量
<1%
40-41°F
$2,427 交易量
<1%
42-43°F
$2,406 交易量
<1%
44-45°F
$2,459 交易量
<1%
46-47°F
$2,465 交易量
<1%
48-49°F
$2,470 交易量
<1%
50-51°F
$2,470 交易量
<1%
52-53°F
$2,554 交易量
1%
54-55°F
$2,283 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$2,659 交易量
1%
58°F or higher
$29,759 交易量
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 58°F or higher in Chicago on April 14, reflecting near-unanimous National Weather Service guidance and model ensemble agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the low to mid-60s°F. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly flow and spring warmth, with recent days logging the third-most 70°F+ readings in Chicago history for early April amid ENSO-neutral conditions boosting above-normal temperature anomalies. Observations confirm steady mild advection, aligning with climatological norms of 58.4°F while exceeding them reliably. Realistic challenges include an accelerated cold front introducing northerly winds, prolonged cloud cover from 50%+ shower chances, or stalled thunderstorms suppressing peaks—scenarios monitored in twice-daily NWS updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
交易量
$59,008结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 58°F or higher in Chicago on April 14, reflecting near-unanimous National Weather Service guidance and model ensemble agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the low to mid-60s°F. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly flow and spring warmth, with recent days logging the third-most 70°F+ readings in Chicago history for early April amid ENSO-neutral conditions boosting above-normal temperature anomalies. Observations confirm steady mild advection, aligning with climatological norms of 58.4°F while exceeding them reliably. Realistic challenges include an accelerated cold front introducing northerly winds, prolonged cloud cover from 50%+ shower chances, or stalled thunderstorms suppressing peaks—scenarios monitored in twice-daily NWS updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$59,008结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 58°F or higher in Chicago on April 14, reflecting near-unanimous National Weather Service guidance and model ensemble agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the low to mid-60s°F. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly flow and spring warmth, with recent days logging the third-most 70°F+ readings in Chicago history for early April amid ENSO-neutral conditions boosting above-normal temperature anomalies. Observations confirm steady mild advection, aligning with climatological norms of 58.4°F while exceeding them reliably. Realistic challenges include an accelerated cold front introducing northerly winds, prolonged cloud cover from 50%+ shower chances, or stalled thunderstorms suppressing peaks—scenarios monitored in twice-daily NWS updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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