Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an even split for Miami's April 14 high temperature, with 88°F or higher leading at 50% implied probability alongside strong support for 82-85°F bins around 36-38%, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Latest NWS Miami forecast discussions highlight persistent easterly winds of 15-20 knots moderating highs near 81°F amid isolated showers and sea breeze influences, following a wet early April with heavy rain and thunderstorms totaling 3-6 inches in spots. However, recent 00Z model runs suggest ridge strengthening could suppress clouds and boost subsidence, pushing temperatures above the 83°F climatological normal if winds ease; watch Sunday evening updates for refined sea surface temperature advection from the warm Gulf Stream (~78°F).
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Miami on April 14?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 14?
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 29%
78-79°F 21%
84-85°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
7%
88°F or higher
4%
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 29%
78-79°F 21%
84-85°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
69°F or below
$145 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$89 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$104 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$62 交易量
5%
78-79°F
$35 交易量
21%
80-81°F
$50 交易量
29%
82-83°F
$103 交易量
34%
84-85°F
$26 交易量
15%
86-87°F
$4 交易量
7%
88°F or higher
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an even split for Miami's April 14 high temperature, with 88°F or higher leading at 50% implied probability alongside strong support for 82-85°F bins around 36-38%, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Latest NWS Miami forecast discussions highlight persistent easterly winds of 15-20 knots moderating highs near 81°F amid isolated showers and sea breeze influences, following a wet early April with heavy rain and thunderstorms totaling 3-6 inches in spots. However, recent 00Z model runs suggest ridge strengthening could suppress clouds and boost subsidence, pushing temperatures above the 83°F climatological normal if winds ease; watch Sunday evening updates for refined sea surface temperature advection from the warm Gulf Stream (~78°F).
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$521结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an even split for Miami's April 14 high temperature, with 88°F or higher leading at 50% implied probability alongside strong support for 82-85°F bins around 36-38%, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Latest NWS Miami forecast discussions highlight persistent easterly winds of 15-20 knots moderating highs near 81°F amid isolated showers and sea breeze influences, following a wet early April with heavy rain and thunderstorms totaling 3-6 inches in spots. However, recent 00Z model runs suggest ridge strengthening could suppress clouds and boost subsidence, pushing temperatures above the 83°F climatological normal if winds ease; watch Sunday evening updates for refined sea surface temperature advection from the warm Gulf Stream (~78°F).
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$521结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices an even split for Miami's April 14 high temperature, with 88°F or higher leading at 50% implied probability alongside strong support for 82-85°F bins around 36-38%, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Latest NWS Miami forecast discussions highlight persistent easterly winds of 15-20 knots moderating highs near 81°F amid isolated showers and sea breeze influences, following a wet early April with heavy rain and thunderstorms totaling 3-6 inches in spots. However, recent 00Z model runs suggest ridge strengthening could suppress clouds and boost subsidence, pushing temperatures above the 83°F climatological normal if winds ease; watch Sunday evening updates for refined sea surface temperature advection from the warm Gulf Stream (~78°F).
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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