Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 80-81°F (41.5% implied probability) and 78-79°F (31%) for Miami's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts at Miami International Airport showing highs near 80°F under mostly sunny skies. Persistent east-northeast winds of 10-15 mph, with gusts to 20 mph, usher cooler Atlantic maritime air while enhancing sea breeze development that suppresses afternoon heating below climatological norms of 82-83°F. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs over the past 48 hours confirm this consensus, with minimal divergence and dry conditions limiting convective cooling. Uncertainty persists in exact sea breeze timing and inland propagation, potentially nudging highs ±2°F; watch overnight model updates and NWS advisories for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月13日迈阿密气温最高?
4月13日迈阿密气温最高?
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 22%
76-77°F 8.8%
71°F或以下
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 22%
76-77°F 8.8%
71°F或以下
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 80-81°F (41.5% implied probability) and 78-79°F (31%) for Miami's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts at Miami International Airport showing highs near 80°F under mostly sunny skies. Persistent east-northeast winds of 10-15 mph, with gusts to 20 mph, usher cooler Atlantic maritime air while enhancing sea breeze development that suppresses afternoon heating below climatological norms of 82-83°F. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs over the past 48 hours confirm this consensus, with minimal divergence and dry conditions limiting convective cooling. Uncertainty persists in exact sea breeze timing and inland propagation, potentially nudging highs ±2°F; watch overnight model updates and NWS advisories for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题