Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, updated within the last 24 hours, project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 13 clustering tightly around 13–15°C, positioning 14°C as the leading outcome at 35% market-implied probability, with 13°C (24%) and 15°C (23%) in close contention. This trader consensus reflects IMGW synoptic guidance indicating milder westerly air masses replacing recent Arctic influences that limited April 12 maxima to 6–9°C inland. April climatology at Warsaw Chopin Airport supports highs near 13°C, though ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover and diurnal heating cycles. Overnight model runs and IMGW bulletins could shift odds before official observations resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 13?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 13?
14°C 36%
13°C 24%
15°C 24%
16°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-04-13
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
24%
14°C
36%
15°C
24%
16°C
9%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
2%
14°C 36%
13°C 24%
15°C 24%
16°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-04-13
8°C or below
$1,745 交易量
<1%
9°C
$739 交易量
<1%
10°C
$481 交易量
<1%
11°C
$648 交易量
2%
12°C
$1,246 交易量
5%
13°C
$857 交易量
24%
14°C
$1,052 交易量
36%
15°C
$862 交易量
24%
16°C
$777 交易量
9%
17°C
$623 交易量
3%
18°C or higher
$795 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, updated within the last 24 hours, project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 13 clustering tightly around 13–15°C, positioning 14°C as the leading outcome at 35% market-implied probability, with 13°C (24%) and 15°C (23%) in close contention. This trader consensus reflects IMGW synoptic guidance indicating milder westerly air masses replacing recent Arctic influences that limited April 12 maxima to 6–9°C inland. April climatology at Warsaw Chopin Airport supports highs near 13°C, though ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover and diurnal heating cycles. Overnight model runs and IMGW bulletins could shift odds before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
交易量
$9,825结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:23 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, updated within the last 24 hours, project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 13 clustering tightly around 13–15°C, positioning 14°C as the leading outcome at 35% market-implied probability, with 13°C (24%) and 15°C (23%) in close contention. This trader consensus reflects IMGW synoptic guidance indicating milder westerly air masses replacing recent Arctic influences that limited April 12 maxima to 6–9°C inland. April climatology at Warsaw Chopin Airport supports highs near 13°C, though ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover and diurnal heating cycles. Overnight model runs and IMGW bulletins could shift odds before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,825结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:23 AM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, updated within the last 24 hours, project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 13 clustering tightly around 13–15°C, positioning 14°C as the leading outcome at 35% market-implied probability, with 13°C (24%) and 15°C (23%) in close contention. This trader consensus reflects IMGW synoptic guidance indicating milder westerly air masses replacing recent Arctic influences that limited April 12 maxima to 6–9°C inland. April climatology at Warsaw Chopin Airport supports highs near 13°C, though ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover and diurnal heating cycles. Overnight model runs and IMGW bulletins could shift odds before official observations resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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