KNMI's latest forecast, issued late April 11, projects a maximum temperature of 14°C in Amsterdam today under partly sunny skies with 60% sunshine, south winds at Beaufort force 4, and just a 20% chance of negligible precipitation, closely mirroring trader consensus with 39.5% implied probability on 14°C and 28.5% on 15°C. This positioning stems from model consensus across ECMWF, GFS, and national HARMONIE ensembles clustering highs at 14-15°C amid mild southerly advection from a weakening high-pressure ridge over northern Europe, following slightly warmer early-April outlooks that converged overnight. Mid-April climatology averages 13°C highs with variability from cloud cover and insolation; real-time Schiphol Airport observations—market resolution source—will track the afternoon peak, with hourly KNMI updates through evening potentially shifting odds as diurnal heating unfolds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 12?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 12?
14°C 39%
15°C 27%
13°C 15%
16°C 11%
$23,829 交易量
$23,829 交易量
2026-04-12
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
15%
14°C
39%
15°C
27%
16°C
11%
17°C or higher
4%
14°C 39%
15°C 27%
13°C 15%
16°C 11%
$23,829 交易量
$23,829 交易量
2026-04-12
7°C or below
$4,419 交易量
<1%
8°C
$4,304 交易量
<1%
9°C
$794 交易量
<1%
10°C
$1,211 交易量
1%
11°C
$4,500 交易量
1%
12°C
$1,976 交易量
1%
13°C
$1,185 交易量
15%
14°C
$973 交易量
39%
15°C
$1,088 交易量
27%
16°C
$1,480 交易量
11%
17°C or higher
$1,899 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.KNMI's latest forecast, issued late April 11, projects a maximum temperature of 14°C in Amsterdam today under partly sunny skies with 60% sunshine, south winds at Beaufort force 4, and just a 20% chance of negligible precipitation, closely mirroring trader consensus with 39.5% implied probability on 14°C and 28.5% on 15°C. This positioning stems from model consensus across ECMWF, GFS, and national HARMONIE ensembles clustering highs at 14-15°C amid mild southerly advection from a weakening high-pressure ridge over northern Europe, following slightly warmer early-April outlooks that converged overnight. Mid-April climatology averages 13°C highs with variability from cloud cover and insolation; real-time Schiphol Airport observations—market resolution source—will track the afternoon peak, with hourly KNMI updates through evening potentially shifting odds as diurnal heating unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
交易量
$23,829结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 1:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.KNMI's latest forecast, issued late April 11, projects a maximum temperature of 14°C in Amsterdam today under partly sunny skies with 60% sunshine, south winds at Beaufort force 4, and just a 20% chance of negligible precipitation, closely mirroring trader consensus with 39.5% implied probability on 14°C and 28.5% on 15°C. This positioning stems from model consensus across ECMWF, GFS, and national HARMONIE ensembles clustering highs at 14-15°C amid mild southerly advection from a weakening high-pressure ridge over northern Europe, following slightly warmer early-April outlooks that converged overnight. Mid-April climatology averages 13°C highs with variability from cloud cover and insolation; real-time Schiphol Airport observations—market resolution source—will track the afternoon peak, with hourly KNMI updates through evening potentially shifting odds as diurnal heating unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$23,829结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 1:05 AM ETKNMI's latest forecast, issued late April 11, projects a maximum temperature of 14°C in Amsterdam today under partly sunny skies with 60% sunshine, south winds at Beaufort force 4, and just a 20% chance of negligible precipitation, closely mirroring trader consensus with 39.5% implied probability on 14°C and 28.5% on 15°C. This positioning stems from model consensus across ECMWF, GFS, and national HARMONIE ensembles clustering highs at 14-15°C amid mild southerly advection from a weakening high-pressure ridge over northern Europe, following slightly warmer early-April outlooks that converged overnight. Mid-April climatology averages 13°C highs with variability from cloud cover and insolation; real-time Schiphol Airport observations—market resolution source—will track the afternoon peak, with hourly KNMI updates through evening potentially shifting odds as diurnal heating unfolds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题