Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (31%) and 14°C (30%) for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting the latest KNMI forecast projecting a maximum of 13°C amid heavily overcast skies, 50% chance of light rain (0-3 mm), and moderate northerly winds (Beaufort 2) capping warm air advection. Recent ECMWF and national model runs show minimal divergence, with cloud cover variability as the key differentiator—persistent overcast suppresses peaks to 13°C, while brief clearing could nudge toward 14°C. April climatology averages 12°C highs at Schiphol station, aligning with this mild but unsettled setup following 15°C on April 5. Overnight forecast updates from KNMI will refine hourly guidance before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 13?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 13?
14°C 31%
13°C 30%
15°C 17%
12°C 15%
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
3%
12°C
15%
13°C
30%
14°C
31%
15°C
17%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 31%
13°C 30%
15°C 17%
12°C 15%
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
3%
12°C
15%
13°C
30%
14°C
31%
15°C
17%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 9, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (31%) and 14°C (30%) for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting the latest KNMI forecast projecting a maximum of 13°C amid heavily overcast skies, 50% chance of light rain (0-3 mm), and moderate northerly winds (Beaufort 2) capping warm air advection. Recent ECMWF and national model runs show minimal divergence, with cloud cover variability as the key differentiator—persistent overcast suppresses peaks to 13°C, while brief clearing could nudge toward 14°C. April climatology averages 12°C highs at Schiphol station, aligning with this mild but unsettled setup following 15°C on April 5. Overnight forecast updates from KNMI will refine hourly guidance before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题