The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), issued April 11, projects a maximum temperature of 26–28°C for the Valle de México on April 13, driving trader consensus to 76% implied probability for 25°C or higher amid consistent warm afternoons. This aligns with April climatological norms of around 26°C highs at Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation, where diurnal heating dominates under partly cloudy mornings transitioning to medium nublado skies with isolated showers (5–25 mm) and possible thunder. Recent SMN updates show stable patterns following earlier rain events, with no major cold fronts; minor cloud cover introduces uncertainty that could cap peaks near 24–25°C. Watch for today's regional forecast refresh and afternoon observations from Benito Juárez International Airport, key for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 13?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 13?
25°C or higher 79%
24°C 17%
23°C 4.0%
21°C <1%
$22,713 交易量
$22,713 交易量
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
17%
25°C or higher
79%
25°C or higher 79%
24°C 17%
23°C 4.0%
21°C <1%
$22,713 交易量
$22,713 交易量
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
17%
25°C or higher
79%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 9, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), issued April 11, projects a maximum temperature of 26–28°C for the Valle de México on April 13, driving trader consensus to 76% implied probability for 25°C or higher amid consistent warm afternoons. This aligns with April climatological norms of around 26°C highs at Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation, where diurnal heating dominates under partly cloudy mornings transitioning to medium nublado skies with isolated showers (5–25 mm) and possible thunder. Recent SMN updates show stable patterns following earlier rain events, with no major cold fronts; minor cloud cover introduces uncertainty that could cap peaks near 24–25°C. Watch for today's regional forecast refresh and afternoon observations from Benito Juárez International Airport, key for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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