Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 23°C or higher in Mexico City today, with 97% implied probability, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting daytime maxima of 24–27°C under mostly clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions. This aligns with April climatological norms, where average highs reach 26°C amid the dry season's ample solar insolation at Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation, supported by consistent model outputs from global weather services like NOAA ensembles. Recent observations over the past 48 hours show minimal cloud interference and no disruptive cold fronts nearby. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon showers reducing insolation or a sudden shift in upper-level winds introducing cooler air masses, though current satellite data shows low likelihood before evening resolution based on official airport measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 12?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 12?
23°C or higher 98.6%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,437 交易量
$15,437 交易量
2026-04-12
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
99%
23°C or higher 98.6%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,437 交易量
$15,437 交易量
2026-04-12
13°C or below
$1,569 交易量
<1%
14°C
$2,331 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,250 交易量
<1%
16°C
$1,113 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,005 交易量
<1%
18°C
$631 交易量
<1%
19°C
$969 交易量
<1%
20°C
$674 交易量
<1%
21°C
$806 交易量
1%
22°C
$2,874 交易量
1%
23°C or higher
$2,214 交易量
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 23°C or higher in Mexico City today, with 97% implied probability, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting daytime maxima of 24–27°C under mostly clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions. This aligns with April climatological norms, where average highs reach 26°C amid the dry season's ample solar insolation at Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation, supported by consistent model outputs from global weather services like NOAA ensembles. Recent observations over the past 48 hours show minimal cloud interference and no disruptive cold fronts nearby. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon showers reducing insolation or a sudden shift in upper-level winds introducing cooler air masses, though current satellite data shows low likelihood before evening resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
交易量
$15,437结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 23°C or higher in Mexico City today, with 97% implied probability, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting daytime maxima of 24–27°C under mostly clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions. This aligns with April climatological norms, where average highs reach 26°C amid the dry season's ample solar insolation at Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation, supported by consistent model outputs from global weather services like NOAA ensembles. Recent observations over the past 48 hours show minimal cloud interference and no disruptive cold fronts nearby. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon showers reducing insolation or a sudden shift in upper-level winds introducing cooler air masses, though current satellite data shows low likelihood before evening resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$15,437结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 23°C or higher in Mexico City today, with 97% implied probability, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting daytime maxima of 24–27°C under mostly clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions. This aligns with April climatological norms, where average highs reach 26°C amid the dry season's ample solar insolation at Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation, supported by consistent model outputs from global weather services like NOAA ensembles. Recent observations over the past 48 hours show minimal cloud interference and no disruptive cold fronts nearby. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon showers reducing insolation or a sudden shift in upper-level winds introducing cooler air masses, though current satellite data shows low likelihood before evening resolution based on official airport measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题