Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles projecting Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) highs of 64-69°F on April 14, driven by lingering onshore flow and partial clearing after recent weekend rains that depressed temperatures into the low 60s. The tight clustering among top outcomes stems from uncertainty in marine layer persistence—coastal stratus clouds could cap highs at 64-65°F if winds stay 5-10 mph westerly, while earlier burn-off might push toward 68-69°F. GFS and ECMWF runs show slight spread, with historical April averages near 68°F providing context amid neutral ENSO conditions. Watch afternoon NWS updates and evening model refreshes for shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 14?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 14?
66-67°F 20%
64-65°F 13%
70-71°F 13%
72-73°F 13%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
13%
74°F or higher
13%
66-67°F 20%
64-65°F 13%
70-71°F 13%
72-73°F 13%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
13%
74°F or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles projecting Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) highs of 64-69°F on April 14, driven by lingering onshore flow and partial clearing after recent weekend rains that depressed temperatures into the low 60s. The tight clustering among top outcomes stems from uncertainty in marine layer persistence—coastal stratus clouds could cap highs at 64-65°F if winds stay 5-10 mph westerly, while earlier burn-off might push toward 68-69°F. GFS and ECMWF runs show slight spread, with historical April averages near 68°F providing context amid neutral ENSO conditions. Watch afternoon NWS updates and evening model refreshes for shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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