Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 32°C (39%) and 33°C (32%) for Kuala Lumpur's highest temperature on April 15, driven by conflicting model outputs amid elevated thunderstorm risk. Recent observations from the Malaysian Meteorological Department (MetMalaysia) recorded a 36°C peak on April 13 under low cloud cover during an ongoing heatwave, but latest forecasts project cooling to 32–34°C with isolated afternoon thunderstorms (40–50% probability per global models like ECMWF), which could cap heating through convective cloud shading and precipitation. High humidity near 90% further limits adiabatic warming, while urban heat island effects in central Kuala Lumpur may push peaks 1°C above rural stations. MetMalaysia's official guidance lists a 34°C maximum, yet AccuWeather aligns at 32°C; resolution hinges on Subang Airport observations during the 2–4 PM peak window, with new hourly updates expected throughout the day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 15?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 15?
32°C 39%
33°C 33%
31°C 11.2%
34°C 7.8%
$21,911 交易量
$21,911 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
39%
33°C
33%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 39%
33°C 33%
31°C 11.2%
34°C 7.8%
$21,911 交易量
$21,911 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
39%
33°C
33%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 32°C (39%) and 33°C (32%) for Kuala Lumpur's highest temperature on April 15, driven by conflicting model outputs amid elevated thunderstorm risk. Recent observations from the Malaysian Meteorological Department (MetMalaysia) recorded a 36°C peak on April 13 under low cloud cover during an ongoing heatwave, but latest forecasts project cooling to 32–34°C with isolated afternoon thunderstorms (40–50% probability per global models like ECMWF), which could cap heating through convective cloud shading and precipitation. High humidity near 90% further limits adiabatic warming, while urban heat island effects in central Kuala Lumpur may push peaks 1°C above rural stations. MetMalaysia's official guidance lists a 34°C maximum, yet AccuWeather aligns at 32°C; resolution hinges on Subang Airport observations during the 2–4 PM peak window, with new hourly updates expected throughout the day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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