Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 32–34°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 15, driven by NiMet's seasonal outlook for warmer-than-normal April conditions amid the dry-to-rainy season transition, with daytime highs projected at 30–41°C nationwide. Global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a mean peak near 33°C, but diverge slightly due to uncertainties in sea breeze strength from the Atlantic, urban heat island effects in Lagos, and potential afternoon cloud development moderating solar heating. Recent observations, including a 35°C high on April 10, have cooled slightly to averages around 32°C, heightening debate on exact intensity; NiMet updates expected today could refine probabilities before resolution via official airport station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lagos on April 15?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 15?
33°C 40%
34°C 29%
32°C 25%
35°C 8%
最新
$19,672 交易量
最新
$19,672 交易量
2026-04-15
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
8%
32°C
25%
33°C
32%
34°C
29%
35°C
19%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 40%
34°C 29%
32°C 25%
35°C 8%
最新
$19,672 交易量
最新
$19,672 交易量
2026-04-15
27°C or below
$1,368 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,853 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,688 交易量
1%
30°C
$7,267 交易量
1%
31°C
$1,198 交易量
8%
32°C
$128 交易量
25%
33°C
$107 交易量
32%
34°C
$122 交易量
29%
35°C
$76 交易量
19%
36°C
$409 交易量
4%
37°C or higher
$5,454 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 32–34°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 15, driven by NiMet's seasonal outlook for warmer-than-normal April conditions amid the dry-to-rainy season transition, with daytime highs projected at 30–41°C nationwide. Global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a mean peak near 33°C, but diverge slightly due to uncertainties in sea breeze strength from the Atlantic, urban heat island effects in Lagos, and potential afternoon cloud development moderating solar heating. Recent observations, including a 35°C high on April 10, have cooled slightly to averages around 32°C, heightening debate on exact intensity; NiMet updates expected today could refine probabilities before resolution via official airport station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
交易量
$19,672结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 32–34°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 15, driven by NiMet's seasonal outlook for warmer-than-normal April conditions amid the dry-to-rainy season transition, with daytime highs projected at 30–41°C nationwide. Global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a mean peak near 33°C, but diverge slightly due to uncertainties in sea breeze strength from the Atlantic, urban heat island effects in Lagos, and potential afternoon cloud development moderating solar heating. Recent observations, including a 35°C high on April 10, have cooled slightly to averages around 32°C, heightening debate on exact intensity; NiMet updates expected today could refine probabilities before resolution via official airport station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$19,672结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 32–34°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 15, driven by NiMet's seasonal outlook for warmer-than-normal April conditions amid the dry-to-rainy season transition, with daytime highs projected at 30–41°C nationwide. Global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a mean peak near 33°C, but diverge slightly due to uncertainties in sea breeze strength from the Atlantic, urban heat island effects in Lagos, and potential afternoon cloud development moderating solar heating. Recent observations, including a 35°C high on April 10, have cooled slightly to averages around 32°C, heightening debate on exact intensity; NiMet updates expected today could refine probabilities before resolution via official airport station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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