Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (33.5%) and 22°C (36.5%) for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting divergent short-range forecast models amid light rain and cloud cover uncertainty. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance calls for light rain transitioning to cloudy skies with a projected high near 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport—the market's resolution station—while GFS and ECMWF ensembles show 22–24°C spreads due to variable precipitation timing reducing solar insolation. AccuWeather aligns at 24°C (75°F), but persistent spring frontal activity caps peaks below April's 23°C climatological average. New model runs overnight and morning observations could tip the balance before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 15?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 15?
22°C 37%
21°C 35%
23°C 20%
20°C 11.2%
$23,800 交易量
$23,800 交易量
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
11%
21°C
35%
22°C
37%
23°C
20%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 37%
21°C 35%
23°C 20%
20°C 11.2%
$23,800 交易量
$23,800 交易量
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
11%
21°C
35%
22°C
37%
23°C
20%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (33.5%) and 22°C (36.5%) for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting divergent short-range forecast models amid light rain and cloud cover uncertainty. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance calls for light rain transitioning to cloudy skies with a projected high near 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport—the market's resolution station—while GFS and ECMWF ensembles show 22–24°C spreads due to variable precipitation timing reducing solar insolation. AccuWeather aligns at 24°C (75°F), but persistent spring frontal activity caps peaks below April's 23°C climatological average. New model runs overnight and morning observations could tip the balance before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题