Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 29°C (35%) and 30°C (34.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 15, mirroring the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a daytime peak of 29-30°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station amid persistent southerly winds of 16-24 km/h advecting warm, humid air in the subtropical monsoon climate. Recent observed highs of 28-32°C over the past week reflect this above-normal warmth trend—well beyond mid-April climatological averages near 27°C—but model ensembles diverge slightly on exact peak due to uncertainties in afternoon sea breeze moderation, variable low-level cloudiness, and urban heat island amplification. New observational data and CMA updates today could tip the balance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 15?
30°C 36%
29°C 35%
31°C 15%
28°C 12.2%
最新
$36,928 交易量
最新
$36,928 交易量
2026-04-15
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
12%
29°C
35%
30°C
36%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
2%
30°C 36%
29°C 35%
31°C 15%
28°C 12.2%
最新
$36,928 交易量
最新
$36,928 交易量
2026-04-15
25°C
$3,735 交易量
<1%
26°C
$2,690 交易量
<1%
27°C
$8,187 交易量
2%
28°C
$4,716 交易量
12%
29°C
$1,643 交易量
35%
30°C
$1,262 交易量
36%
31°C
$3,818 交易量
15%
32°C or higher
$4,592 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 29°C (35%) and 30°C (34.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 15, mirroring the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a daytime peak of 29-30°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station amid persistent southerly winds of 16-24 km/h advecting warm, humid air in the subtropical monsoon climate. Recent observed highs of 28-32°C over the past week reflect this above-normal warmth trend—well beyond mid-April climatological averages near 27°C—but model ensembles diverge slightly on exact peak due to uncertainties in afternoon sea breeze moderation, variable low-level cloudiness, and urban heat island amplification. New observational data and CMA updates today could tip the balance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
交易量
$36,928结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 29°C (35%) and 30°C (34.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 15, mirroring the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a daytime peak of 29-30°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station amid persistent southerly winds of 16-24 km/h advecting warm, humid air in the subtropical monsoon climate. Recent observed highs of 28-32°C over the past week reflect this above-normal warmth trend—well beyond mid-April climatological averages near 27°C—but model ensembles diverge slightly on exact peak due to uncertainties in afternoon sea breeze moderation, variable low-level cloudiness, and urban heat island amplification. New observational data and CMA updates today could tip the balance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$36,928结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 29°C (35%) and 30°C (34.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 15, mirroring the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a daytime peak of 29-30°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station amid persistent southerly winds of 16-24 km/h advecting warm, humid air in the subtropical monsoon climate. Recent observed highs of 28-32°C over the past week reflect this above-normal warmth trend—well beyond mid-April climatological averages near 27°C—but model ensembles diverge slightly on exact peak due to uncertainties in afternoon sea breeze moderation, variable low-level cloudiness, and urban heat island amplification. New observational data and CMA updates today could tip the balance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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