Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 15-18°C for London's highest temperature on April 14, driven by the latest UK Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts showing maximums of 16-17°C under sunny intervals and gentle southerly breezes. Following a record 26.6°C heat on April 8 and subsequent cool, showery Atlantic low-pressure influence over the April 12-13 weekend (highs 13-15°C with 30-60% precipitation risk), models now indicate a ridge allowing drier conditions and enhanced insolation, potentially pushing peaks higher. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—lingering showers could limit to 15-16°C, while clearer skies favor 17-18°C—amid April climatological norms of 13-14°C. New model runs expected Monday may refine this uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月14日伦敦气温最高？
4月14日伦敦气温最高？
16°C 26%
15°C 24%
17°C 19%
14°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
10°C或以下
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
14%
15°C
24%
16°C
26%
17°C
19%
18°C
7%
19°C
9%
20°C或更高
5%
16°C 26%
15°C 24%
17°C 19%
14°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
10°C或以下
$329 交易量
1%
11°C
$1,745 交易量
1%
12°C
$169 交易量
2%
13°C
$97 交易量
5%
14°C
$153 交易量
14%
15°C
$109 交易量
24%
16°C
$130 交易量
26%
17°C
$109 交易量
19%
18°C
$512 交易量
7%
19°C
$13 交易量
9%
20°C或更高
$300 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 15-18°C for London's highest temperature on April 14, driven by the latest UK Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts showing maximums of 16-17°C under sunny intervals and gentle southerly breezes. Following a record 26.6°C heat on April 8 and subsequent cool, showery Atlantic low-pressure influence over the April 12-13 weekend (highs 13-15°C with 30-60% precipitation risk), models now indicate a ridge allowing drier conditions and enhanced insolation, potentially pushing peaks higher. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—lingering showers could limit to 15-16°C, while clearer skies favor 17-18°C—amid April climatological norms of 13-14°C. New model runs expected Monday may refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$3,641结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 15-18°C for London's highest temperature on April 14, driven by the latest UK Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts showing maximums of 16-17°C under sunny intervals and gentle southerly breezes. Following a record 26.6°C heat on April 8 and subsequent cool, showery Atlantic low-pressure influence over the April 12-13 weekend (highs 13-15°C with 30-60% precipitation risk), models now indicate a ridge allowing drier conditions and enhanced insolation, potentially pushing peaks higher. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—lingering showers could limit to 15-16°C, while clearer skies favor 17-18°C—amid April climatological norms of 13-14°C. New model runs expected Monday may refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,641结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 15-18°C for London's highest temperature on April 14, driven by the latest UK Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts showing maximums of 16-17°C under sunny intervals and gentle southerly breezes. Following a record 26.6°C heat on April 8 and subsequent cool, showery Atlantic low-pressure influence over the April 12-13 weekend (highs 13-15°C with 30-60% precipitation risk), models now indicate a ridge allowing drier conditions and enhanced insolation, potentially pushing peaks higher. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—lingering showers could limit to 15-16°C, while clearer skies favor 17-18°C—amid April climatological norms of 13-14°C. New model runs expected Monday may refine this uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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