The latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) forecast, updated April 14, projects Helsinki's highest temperature on April 15 reaching 15°C around mid-afternoon under clear skies and light winds (1-6 m/s), driving trader consensus to a 70% implied probability for 15°C or higher. This aligns with ECMWF and GFS model runs showing a stable high-pressure ridge promoting daytime heating, following today's observed high near 13°C—warmer than the April climatological average of 7-8°C. Probabilities taper to 19.5% for exactly 14°C amid minor model spread and potential cloud cover, with negligible odds below 12°C reflecting high short-term forecast confidence; final resolution hinges on FMI observations at Helsinki-Kaisaniemi station by midnight April 16.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 15?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 15?
15°C or higher 71%
14°C 22%
13°C 7.1%
12°C 5.8%
$18,592 交易量
$18,592 交易量
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
6%
13°C
7%
14°C
22%
15°C or higher
71%
15°C or higher 71%
14°C 22%
13°C 7.1%
12°C 5.8%
$18,592 交易量
$18,592 交易量
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
6%
13°C
7%
14°C
22%
15°C or higher
71%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) forecast, updated April 14, projects Helsinki's highest temperature on April 15 reaching 15°C around mid-afternoon under clear skies and light winds (1-6 m/s), driving trader consensus to a 70% implied probability for 15°C or higher. This aligns with ECMWF and GFS model runs showing a stable high-pressure ridge promoting daytime heating, following today's observed high near 13°C—warmer than the April climatological average of 7-8°C. Probabilities taper to 19.5% for exactly 14°C amid minor model spread and potential cloud cover, with negligible odds below 12°C reflecting high short-term forecast confidence; final resolution hinges on FMI observations at Helsinki-Kaisaniemi station by midnight April 16.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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