Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 31–33°C for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting BMKG's early warning of moderate to heavy rain across Jabodetabek, which boosts cloud cover and curbs daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Recent observations show April 12–14 highs near 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies, aligning with April climatology averages of 32°C amid lingering rainy season influences through late April. Model consensus from BMKG indicates light to moderate rain with over 90% probability, favoring moderation below recent spikes over 36°C in March; however, intermittent clearing or delayed showers could nudge toward 33°C. Official station measurements (e.g., Halim Perdanakusuma) and intraday updates will sharpen resolution amid tropical variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 15?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 15?
32°C 38%
31°C 29%
33°C 24%
30°C 7.9%
$15,423 交易量
$15,423 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
8%
31°C
29%
32°C
38%
33°C
24%
34°C or higher
7%
32°C 38%
31°C 29%
33°C 24%
30°C 7.9%
$15,423 交易量
$15,423 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
8%
31°C
29%
32°C
38%
33°C
24%
34°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 31–33°C for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting BMKG's early warning of moderate to heavy rain across Jabodetabek, which boosts cloud cover and curbs daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Recent observations show April 12–14 highs near 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies, aligning with April climatology averages of 32°C amid lingering rainy season influences through late April. Model consensus from BMKG indicates light to moderate rain with over 90% probability, favoring moderation below recent spikes over 36°C in March; however, intermittent clearing or delayed showers could nudge toward 33°C. Official station measurements (e.g., Halim Perdanakusuma) and intraday updates will sharpen resolution amid tropical variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题