Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 80°F or higher (90.5% implied probability) for Austin's highest temperature on April 15, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a high near 84°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport under partly cloudy skies and south winds of 5-15 mph. This reflects strong model agreement from GFS and European forecasts, sustained by a persistent upper-level ridge over Texas amid a warmer-than-normal spring pattern—March 2026 marked Austin's warmest on record, with climatological normals around 80°F. Realistic challenges include an unexpected northward push of cooler Gulf moisture or unforecast thunderstorms capping insolation, though low-probability given current steering patterns; watch overnight NWS updates and morning soundings for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on April 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 15?
80°F or higher 92%
78-79°F 6.5%
76-77°F 2.1%
74-75°F <1%
最新
$28,467 交易量
最新
$28,467 交易量
2026-04-15
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
7%
80°F or higher
92%
80°F or higher 92%
78-79°F 6.5%
76-77°F 2.1%
74-75°F <1%
最新
$28,467 交易量
最新
$28,467 交易量
2026-04-15
61°F or below
$1,593 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$330 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$3,007 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$1,192 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$7,228 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$1,014 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$1,599 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$2,627 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$5,148 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$1,961 交易量
7%
80°F or higher
$2,771 交易量
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 80°F or higher (90.5% implied probability) for Austin's highest temperature on April 15, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a high near 84°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport under partly cloudy skies and south winds of 5-15 mph. This reflects strong model agreement from GFS and European forecasts, sustained by a persistent upper-level ridge over Texas amid a warmer-than-normal spring pattern—March 2026 marked Austin's warmest on record, with climatological normals around 80°F. Realistic challenges include an unexpected northward push of cooler Gulf moisture or unforecast thunderstorms capping insolation, though low-probability given current steering patterns; watch overnight NWS updates and morning soundings for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
交易量
$28,467结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:41 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 80°F or higher (90.5% implied probability) for Austin's highest temperature on April 15, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a high near 84°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport under partly cloudy skies and south winds of 5-15 mph. This reflects strong model agreement from GFS and European forecasts, sustained by a persistent upper-level ridge over Texas amid a warmer-than-normal spring pattern—March 2026 marked Austin's warmest on record, with climatological normals around 80°F. Realistic challenges include an unexpected northward push of cooler Gulf moisture or unforecast thunderstorms capping insolation, though low-probability given current steering patterns; watch overnight NWS updates and morning soundings for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$28,467结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:41 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 80°F or higher (90.5% implied probability) for Austin's highest temperature on April 15, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a high near 84°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport under partly cloudy skies and south winds of 5-15 mph. This reflects strong model agreement from GFS and European forecasts, sustained by a persistent upper-level ridge over Texas amid a warmer-than-normal spring pattern—March 2026 marked Austin's warmest on record, with climatological normals around 80°F. Realistic challenges include an unexpected northward push of cooler Gulf moisture or unforecast thunderstorms capping insolation, though low-probability given current steering patterns; watch overnight NWS updates and morning soundings for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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