National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF point to an overnight low near 64-65°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 15, driving trader consensus with 34.5% implied probability for that bin amid a broader spread reflecting short-range uncertainty. Today's near-record highs of 86-87°F in the NYC metro, fueled by a persistent subtropical airmass and southerly flow, have preconditioned warm surface conditions and mugginess that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Key variables include overnight cloud cover—partly cloudy skies per latest forecasts could allow slight drops to 62-63°F if clearing occurs, or trap heat toward 66-67°F with lingering moisture—and light winds preventing cold air drainage. New NWS updates and 00Z model runs this evening will refine the pre-dawn minimum expected early April 15.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月15日纽约市最低气温？
4月15日纽约市最低气温？
66-67°F 23.8%
64-65°F 17%
60-61°F 12.1%
62-63°F 10%
最新
$21,750 交易量
最新
$21,750 交易量
2026-04-16
59°F或更低
3%
60-61°F
12%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78华氏度或更高
<1%
66-67°F 23.8%
64-65°F 17%
60-61°F 12.1%
62-63°F 10%
最新
$21,750 交易量
最新
$21,750 交易量
2026-04-16
59°F或更低
$2,406 交易量
3%
60-61°F
$1,473 交易量
12%
62-63°F
$1,644 交易量
10%
64-65°F
$2,807 交易量
17%
66-67°F
$3,131 交易量
24%
68-69°F
$1,448 交易量
8%
70-71°F
$760 交易量
6%
72-73°F
$832 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$861 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$1,066 交易量
1%
78华氏度或更高
$5,465 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF point to an overnight low near 64-65°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 15, driving trader consensus with 34.5% implied probability for that bin amid a broader spread reflecting short-range uncertainty. Today's near-record highs of 86-87°F in the NYC metro, fueled by a persistent subtropical airmass and southerly flow, have preconditioned warm surface conditions and mugginess that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Key variables include overnight cloud cover—partly cloudy skies per latest forecasts could allow slight drops to 62-63°F if clearing occurs, or trap heat toward 66-67°F with lingering moisture—and light winds preventing cold air drainage. New NWS updates and 00Z model runs this evening will refine the pre-dawn minimum expected early April 15.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
交易量
$21,750结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF point to an overnight low near 64-65°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 15, driving trader consensus with 34.5% implied probability for that bin amid a broader spread reflecting short-range uncertainty. Today's near-record highs of 86-87°F in the NYC metro, fueled by a persistent subtropical airmass and southerly flow, have preconditioned warm surface conditions and mugginess that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Key variables include overnight cloud cover—partly cloudy skies per latest forecasts could allow slight drops to 62-63°F if clearing occurs, or trap heat toward 66-67°F with lingering moisture—and light winds preventing cold air drainage. New NWS updates and 00Z model runs this evening will refine the pre-dawn minimum expected early April 15.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$21,750结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETNational Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF point to an overnight low near 64-65°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) on April 15, driving trader consensus with 34.5% implied probability for that bin amid a broader spread reflecting short-range uncertainty. Today's near-record highs of 86-87°F in the NYC metro, fueled by a persistent subtropical airmass and southerly flow, have preconditioned warm surface conditions and mugginess that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Key variables include overnight cloud cover—partly cloudy skies per latest forecasts could allow slight drops to 62-63°F if clearing occurs, or trap heat toward 66-67°F with lingering moisture—and light winds preventing cold air drainage. New NWS updates and 00Z model runs this evening will refine the pre-dawn minimum expected early April 15.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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