Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 92.5% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature reaching 32°C or higher on April 15, driven by the latest forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing peak afternoon highs of 33–34°C under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover typical of Panama's late dry season. Recent 14-day outlooks from timeanddate.com and weather.com align at 32–33°C, bolstered by April climatology where average highs hit 32°C and exceedances are common amid low precipitation. Realistic challenges include unexpected morning showers or enhanced sea-breeze convergence capping peaks near 31°C, with final confirmation via local hidrometeorological observations as the date unfolds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Panama City on April 15?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 15?
32°C or higher 93%
31°C 4.4%
30°C 2.3%
29°C <1%
最新
$11,048 交易量
最新
$11,048 交易量
2026-04-15
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
93%
32°C or higher 93%
31°C 4.4%
30°C 2.3%
29°C <1%
最新
$11,048 交易量
最新
$11,048 交易量
2026-04-15
22°C or below
$2,949 交易量
<1%
23°C
$284 交易量
<1%
24°C
$298 交易量
<1%
25°C
$440 交易量
<1%
26°C
$406 交易量
<1%
27°C
$436 交易量
<1%
28°C
$568 交易量
<1%
29°C
$531 交易量
1%
30°C
$1,413 交易量
2%
31°C
$2,336 交易量
4%
32°C or higher
$1,388 交易量
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 92.5% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature reaching 32°C or higher on April 15, driven by the latest forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing peak afternoon highs of 33–34°C under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover typical of Panama's late dry season. Recent 14-day outlooks from timeanddate.com and weather.com align at 32–33°C, bolstered by April climatology where average highs hit 32°C and exceedances are common amid low precipitation. Realistic challenges include unexpected morning showers or enhanced sea-breeze convergence capping peaks near 31°C, with final confirmation via local hidrometeorological observations as the date unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
交易量
$11,048结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 92.5% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature reaching 32°C or higher on April 15, driven by the latest forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing peak afternoon highs of 33–34°C under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover typical of Panama's late dry season. Recent 14-day outlooks from timeanddate.com and weather.com align at 32–33°C, bolstered by April climatology where average highs hit 32°C and exceedances are common amid low precipitation. Realistic challenges include unexpected morning showers or enhanced sea-breeze convergence capping peaks near 31°C, with final confirmation via local hidrometeorological observations as the date unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$11,048结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 92.5% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature reaching 32°C or higher on April 15, driven by the latest forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing peak afternoon highs of 33–34°C under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover typical of Panama's late dry season. Recent 14-day outlooks from timeanddate.com and weather.com align at 32–33°C, bolstered by April climatology where average highs hit 32°C and exceedances are common amid low precipitation. Realistic challenges include unexpected morning showers or enhanced sea-breeze convergence capping peaks near 31°C, with final confirmation via local hidrometeorological observations as the date unfolds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题