Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and recent GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting a high near 69-72°F at Los Angeles International Airport on April 15, amid moderate onshore flow (5-10 mph southwest winds) advecting cool marine air that sustains a persistent nighttime stratus layer along the coast. This marine layer—common in spring for Southern California—caps daytime heating by trapping clouds through midday, favoring 68-69°F outcomes, though early burn-off under building high pressure could push toward 72°F or higher. Post-trough drying from earlier April rains has reduced low-level moisture slightly, but model spread highlights uncertainty in clearing timing; watch NWS updates and morning observations for shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 15?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 15?
72°F or higher 32%
68-69°F 29%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 4.1%
$16,741 交易量
$16,741 交易量
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
26%
72°F or higher
32%
72°F or higher 32%
68-69°F 29%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 4.1%
$16,741 交易量
$16,741 交易量
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
26%
72°F or higher
32%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 13, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and recent GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting a high near 69-72°F at Los Angeles International Airport on April 15, amid moderate onshore flow (5-10 mph southwest winds) advecting cool marine air that sustains a persistent nighttime stratus layer along the coast. This marine layer—common in spring for Southern California—caps daytime heating by trapping clouds through midday, favoring 68-69°F outcomes, though early burn-off under building high pressure could push toward 72°F or higher. Post-trough drying from earlier April rains has reduced low-level moisture slightly, but model spread highlights uncertainty in clearing timing; watch NWS updates and morning observations for shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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