Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a lowest temperature of 11°C (41% implied probability) for London on April 15, closely followed by 12°C (21.3%) and 13°C (17%), reflecting the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting overnight lows around 9–12°C amid light rain, drizzle, and moderate southerly breezes of 15–25 km/h. Persistent cloud cover from an incoming Atlantic front prevents radiative cooling, maintaining mild conditions after a record early April heatwave peaked at 26.6°C last week; hourly models show temperatures stabilizing at 12–13°C overnight into early morning before a daytime high near 17°C. Updated ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and UKMO this evening could shift odds slightly, with official Heathrow Airport observations resolving the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月15日伦敦最低气温？
4月15日伦敦最低气温？
11°C 41.0%
12°C 25.2%
10°C 16.0%
13°C 14%
最新
$32,302 交易量
最新
$32,302 交易量
2026-04-15
6°C或以下
<1%
7°C
3%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
16%
11°C
41%
12°C
25%
13°C
14%
14°C
4%
15°C
2%
16°C或更高
<1%
11°C 41.0%
12°C 25.2%
10°C 16.0%
13°C 14%
最新
$32,302 交易量
最新
$32,302 交易量
2026-04-15
6°C或以下
$1,575 交易量
<1%
7°C
$1,261 交易量
3%
8°C
$2,073 交易量
1%
9°C
$5,041 交易量
1%
10°C
$2,533 交易量
16%
11°C
$2,860 交易量
41%
12°C
$3,694 交易量
25%
13°C
$2,349 交易量
14%
14°C
$817 交易量
4%
15°C
$1,846 交易量
2%
16°C或更高
$8,253 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a lowest temperature of 11°C (41% implied probability) for London on April 15, closely followed by 12°C (21.3%) and 13°C (17%), reflecting the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting overnight lows around 9–12°C amid light rain, drizzle, and moderate southerly breezes of 15–25 km/h. Persistent cloud cover from an incoming Atlantic front prevents radiative cooling, maintaining mild conditions after a record early April heatwave peaked at 26.6°C last week; hourly models show temperatures stabilizing at 12–13°C overnight into early morning before a daytime high near 17°C. Updated ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and UKMO this evening could shift odds slightly, with official Heathrow Airport observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
交易量
$32,302结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 7:06 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a lowest temperature of 11°C (41% implied probability) for London on April 15, closely followed by 12°C (21.3%) and 13°C (17%), reflecting the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting overnight lows around 9–12°C amid light rain, drizzle, and moderate southerly breezes of 15–25 km/h. Persistent cloud cover from an incoming Atlantic front prevents radiative cooling, maintaining mild conditions after a record early April heatwave peaked at 26.6°C last week; hourly models show temperatures stabilizing at 12–13°C overnight into early morning before a daytime high near 17°C. Updated ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and UKMO this evening could shift odds slightly, with official Heathrow Airport observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$32,302结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 7:06 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a lowest temperature of 11°C (41% implied probability) for London on April 15, closely followed by 12°C (21.3%) and 13°C (17%), reflecting the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting overnight lows around 9–12°C amid light rain, drizzle, and moderate southerly breezes of 15–25 km/h. Persistent cloud cover from an incoming Atlantic front prevents radiative cooling, maintaining mild conditions after a record early April heatwave peaked at 26.6°C last week; hourly models show temperatures stabilizing at 12–13°C overnight into early morning before a daytime high near 17°C. Updated ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and UKMO this evening could shift odds slightly, with official Heathrow Airport observations resolving the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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