Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 15 at 19-20°C, driving the tight trader consensus with 20°C or higher at 42.5% implied probability slightly edging 19°C at 39.5%, while 18°C trails at 14.5%. Yesterday's observed high of 17°C reflects a passing cool front with overcast skies limiting insolation, but models anticipate partial clearing and southerly winds boosting daytime heating amid typical mid-April climatology averaging 18-19°C highs. Cloud cover variability and afternoon model updates remain key differentiators, as even minor shifts in solar penetration could tip outcomes between these bins before resolution based on official China Meteorological Administration observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 15?
20°C or higher 42%
19°C 40%
18°C 15%
17°C 2.1%
最新
$71,435 交易量
最新
$71,435 交易量
2026-04-15
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
15%
19°C
40%
20°C or higher
42%
20°C or higher 42%
19°C 40%
18°C 15%
17°C 2.1%
最新
$71,435 交易量
最新
$71,435 交易量
2026-04-15
10°C or below
$4,487 交易量
<1%
11°C
$11,681 交易量
<1%
12°C
$3,822 交易量
<1%
13°C
$2,494 交易量
<1%
14°C
$2,613 交易量
<1%
15°C
$11,364 交易量
<1%
16°C
$5,666 交易量
1%
17°C
$9,507 交易量
2%
18°C
$8,829 交易量
15%
19°C
$3,402 交易量
40%
20°C or higher
$7,570 交易量
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 15 at 19-20°C, driving the tight trader consensus with 20°C or higher at 42.5% implied probability slightly edging 19°C at 39.5%, while 18°C trails at 14.5%. Yesterday's observed high of 17°C reflects a passing cool front with overcast skies limiting insolation, but models anticipate partial clearing and southerly winds boosting daytime heating amid typical mid-April climatology averaging 18-19°C highs. Cloud cover variability and afternoon model updates remain key differentiators, as even minor shifts in solar penetration could tip outcomes between these bins before resolution based on official China Meteorological Administration observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$71,435结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 15 at 19-20°C, driving the tight trader consensus with 20°C or higher at 42.5% implied probability slightly edging 19°C at 39.5%, while 18°C trails at 14.5%. Yesterday's observed high of 17°C reflects a passing cool front with overcast skies limiting insolation, but models anticipate partial clearing and southerly winds boosting daytime heating amid typical mid-April climatology averaging 18-19°C highs. Cloud cover variability and afternoon model updates remain key differentiators, as even minor shifts in solar penetration could tip outcomes between these bins before resolution based on official China Meteorological Administration observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$71,435结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 15 at 19-20°C, driving the tight trader consensus with 20°C or higher at 42.5% implied probability slightly edging 19°C at 39.5%, while 18°C trails at 14.5%. Yesterday's observed high of 17°C reflects a passing cool front with overcast skies limiting insolation, but models anticipate partial clearing and southerly winds boosting daytime heating amid typical mid-April climatology averaging 18-19°C highs. Cloud cover variability and afternoon model updates remain key differentiators, as even minor shifts in solar penetration could tip outcomes between these bins before resolution based on official China Meteorological Administration observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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