Met Office forecasts indicate London's highest temperature on April 15 at 17°C, anchoring trader consensus with 39.5% implied probability on that outcome, as mild southwesterly winds deliver drier intervals amid cloudy skies and scattered light rain. This positioning reflects a sharp cooldown from early April's record 26.6°C heat in Kew Gardens, driven by an advancing Atlantic frontal system introducing heavier afternoon rain and gusts up to 30 mph, which suppress peaks via increased cloud cover and precipitation. Forecasts from BBC Weather align at 17°C with light rain, though model uncertainty allows for 18°C if breaks lengthen or 16°C under persistent overcast—resolution hinges on official observations from Heathrow and central stations by day's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月15日伦敦气温最高?
4月15日伦敦气温最高?
17°C 42%
18°C 28%
16°C 26%
19°C或更高 3.9%
$117,668 交易量
$117,668 交易量
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
26%
17°C
42%
18°C
28%
19°C或更高
4%
17°C 42%
18°C 28%
16°C 26%
19°C或更高 3.9%
$117,668 交易量
$117,668 交易量
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
26%
17°C
42%
18°C
28%
19°C或更高
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Met Office forecasts indicate London's highest temperature on April 15 at 17°C, anchoring trader consensus with 39.5% implied probability on that outcome, as mild southwesterly winds deliver drier intervals amid cloudy skies and scattered light rain. This positioning reflects a sharp cooldown from early April's record 26.6°C heat in Kew Gardens, driven by an advancing Atlantic frontal system introducing heavier afternoon rain and gusts up to 30 mph, which suppress peaks via increased cloud cover and precipitation. Forecasts from BBC Weather align at 17°C with light rain, though model uncertainty allows for 18°C if breaks lengthen or 16°C under persistent overcast—resolution hinges on official observations from Heathrow and central stations by day's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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