Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 25°C (31.5%) and 26°C (29.5%) as the highest temperature at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 15, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting daytime highs of 25-26°C under sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds following April 14's cooler rain (9-21°C). This reflects ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF, where subtle differences in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover could cap peaks at 25°C or allow brief 26°C spikes amid warming southerly flow. Historical mid-April averages hover around 20-22°C, underscoring spring variability; new hourly observations and model runs overnight may refine odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on April 15?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 15?
25°C 30%
26°C 30%
24°C 25%
23°C 14.8%
最新
$39,969 交易量
最新
$39,969 交易量
2026-04-15
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
15%
24°C
25%
25°C
30%
26°C
30%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 30%
26°C 30%
24°C 25%
23°C 14.8%
最新
$39,969 交易量
最新
$39,969 交易量
2026-04-15
21°C or below
$9,784 交易量
1%
22°C
$4,005 交易量
1%
23°C
$4,051 交易量
15%
24°C
$3,017 交易量
25%
25°C
$2,837 交易量
30%
26°C
$1,801 交易量
30%
27°C
$3,162 交易量
3%
28°C
$3,421 交易量
2%
29°C
$4,552 交易量
1%
30°C
$2,624 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$770 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 25°C (31.5%) and 26°C (29.5%) as the highest temperature at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 15, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting daytime highs of 25-26°C under sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds following April 14's cooler rain (9-21°C). This reflects ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF, where subtle differences in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover could cap peaks at 25°C or allow brief 26°C spikes amid warming southerly flow. Historical mid-April averages hover around 20-22°C, underscoring spring variability; new hourly observations and model runs overnight may refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$39,969结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 25°C (31.5%) and 26°C (29.5%) as the highest temperature at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 15, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting daytime highs of 25-26°C under sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds following April 14's cooler rain (9-21°C). This reflects ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF, where subtle differences in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover could cap peaks at 25°C or allow brief 26°C spikes amid warming southerly flow. Historical mid-April averages hover around 20-22°C, underscoring spring variability; new hourly observations and model runs overnight may refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$39,969结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 25°C (31.5%) and 26°C (29.5%) as the highest temperature at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 15, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting daytime highs of 25-26°C under sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds following April 14's cooler rain (9-21°C). This reflects ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF, where subtle differences in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover could cap peaks at 25°C or allow brief 26°C spikes amid warming southerly flow. Historical mid-April averages hover around 20-22°C, underscoring spring variability; new hourly observations and model runs overnight may refine odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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