Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast models project Tokyo's highest temperature on April 15 at around 21°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and southerly winds, driving 40.5% trader consensus on that outcome alongside strong support for 20°C (24%) and 22°C (23.3%). Mid-April climatology typically sees highs of 19-21°C, with current ensemble guidance showing minimal deviation from norms amid clear skies and low precipitation risk. Recent observational data from April 13-14 confirm mild daytime readings in the upper teens, aligning with model runs updated yesterday. Inherent forecast uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloudiness or sea breeze effects; traders await JMA's evening update for refinements before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 15?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 15?
21°C 40%
20°C 28%
22°C 23.3%
19°C 3.8%
最新
$90,140 交易量
最新
$90,140 交易量
2026-04-15
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
28%
21°C
40%
22°C
23%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 40%
20°C 28%
22°C 23.3%
19°C 3.8%
最新
$90,140 交易量
最新
$90,140 交易量
2026-04-15
17°C
$9,490 交易量
<1%
18°C
$9,852 交易量
1%
19°C
$7,145 交易量
4%
20°C
$4,782 交易量
28%
21°C
$4,815 交易量
40%
22°C
$6,928 交易量
23%
23°C
$6,473 交易量
2%
24°C or higher
$8,024 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast models project Tokyo's highest temperature on April 15 at around 21°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and southerly winds, driving 40.5% trader consensus on that outcome alongside strong support for 20°C (24%) and 22°C (23.3%). Mid-April climatology typically sees highs of 19-21°C, with current ensemble guidance showing minimal deviation from norms amid clear skies and low precipitation risk. Recent observational data from April 13-14 confirm mild daytime readings in the upper teens, aligning with model runs updated yesterday. Inherent forecast uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloudiness or sea breeze effects; traders await JMA's evening update for refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$90,140结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast models project Tokyo's highest temperature on April 15 at around 21°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and southerly winds, driving 40.5% trader consensus on that outcome alongside strong support for 20°C (24%) and 22°C (23.3%). Mid-April climatology typically sees highs of 19-21°C, with current ensemble guidance showing minimal deviation from norms amid clear skies and low precipitation risk. Recent observational data from April 13-14 confirm mild daytime readings in the upper teens, aligning with model runs updated yesterday. Inherent forecast uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloudiness or sea breeze effects; traders await JMA's evening update for refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$90,140结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETJapan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast models project Tokyo's highest temperature on April 15 at around 21°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and southerly winds, driving 40.5% trader consensus on that outcome alongside strong support for 20°C (24%) and 22°C (23.3%). Mid-April climatology typically sees highs of 19-21°C, with current ensemble guidance showing minimal deviation from norms amid clear skies and low precipitation risk. Recent observational data from April 13-14 confirm mild daytime readings in the upper teens, aligning with model runs updated yesterday. Inherent forecast uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloudiness or sea breeze effects; traders await JMA's evening update for refinements before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题