Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range weather models for Milan's highest temperature on April 16, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting peaks of 22-25°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge ushering mild spring warmth to northern Italy. The slight edge to 24°C (26%) stems from Italian forecasters like MeteoLive showing afternoon highs near 24°C with scattered clouds, while broader ensemble spreads account for variables like cloud cover reducing solar insolation, light winds, and exact ridge positioning—differentiating 22°C outcomes if thicker clouds persist. April climatology supports these levels, above the 18-20°C monthly average, but inherent model divergence persists; watch afternoon updates from ARPA Lombardia for resolution-clarifying data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on April 16?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 16?
24°C 26%
23°C 23%
22°C 20%
25°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
20%
23°C
23%
24°C
26%
25°C
16%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 26%
23°C 23%
22°C 20%
25°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
18°C or below
$187 交易量
1%
19°C
$225 交易量
1%
20°C
$334 交易量
2%
21°C
$260 交易量
4%
22°C
$314 交易量
20%
23°C
$349 交易量
23%
24°C
$162 交易量
26%
25°C
$167 交易量
16%
26°C
$283 交易量
7%
27°C
$187 交易量
2%
28°C or higher
$164 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range weather models for Milan's highest temperature on April 16, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting peaks of 22-25°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge ushering mild spring warmth to northern Italy. The slight edge to 24°C (26%) stems from Italian forecasters like MeteoLive showing afternoon highs near 24°C with scattered clouds, while broader ensemble spreads account for variables like cloud cover reducing solar insolation, light winds, and exact ridge positioning—differentiating 22°C outcomes if thicker clouds persist. April climatology supports these levels, above the 18-20°C monthly average, but inherent model divergence persists; watch afternoon updates from ARPA Lombardia for resolution-clarifying data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
交易量
$2,565结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:26 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range weather models for Milan's highest temperature on April 16, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting peaks of 22-25°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge ushering mild spring warmth to northern Italy. The slight edge to 24°C (26%) stems from Italian forecasters like MeteoLive showing afternoon highs near 24°C with scattered clouds, while broader ensemble spreads account for variables like cloud cover reducing solar insolation, light winds, and exact ridge positioning—differentiating 22°C outcomes if thicker clouds persist. April climatology supports these levels, above the 18-20°C monthly average, but inherent model divergence persists; watch afternoon updates from ARPA Lombardia for resolution-clarifying data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,565结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:26 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range weather models for Milan's highest temperature on April 16, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting peaks of 22-25°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge ushering mild spring warmth to northern Italy. The slight edge to 24°C (26%) stems from Italian forecasters like MeteoLive showing afternoon highs near 24°C with scattered clouds, while broader ensemble spreads account for variables like cloud cover reducing solar insolation, light winds, and exact ridge positioning—differentiating 22°C outcomes if thicker clouds persist. April climatology supports these levels, above the 18-20°C monthly average, but inherent model divergence persists; watch afternoon updates from ARPA Lombardia for resolution-clarifying data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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